2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter RHP PHI
114 matchups scored · 13 game days
19 HRs Allowed
16.7% HR Rate (Pool)
14.7% Overall HR/FB
3.99 FIP
4.22 xFIP
-0.24 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.46
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
14.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
70th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
72.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.99
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
49th pctile
4.22
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.24
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
36th pctile
16.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
19
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
16.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 5 27.8% 2.5 99.0mph 104.0mph 27.4° 406ft Up +11.1pp
Last 15 25 3 6 24.0% 2.0 97.0mph 102.9mph 28.3° 401ft Up +7.3pp
Last 30 43 5 10 23.3% 2.0 96.7mph 103.4mph 28.1° 400ft Up +6.6pp
Batted-Ball Damage
103 tracked BBE from 114 pool matchups
98.0
113.0
75
0
103.2
28.7°
394
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-17 Kyle Stowers 110.8mph 107.7mph 25° 436ft Yes
2026-06-17 Esteury Ruiz 103.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Joe Mack 103.5mph 103.5mph 30° 401ft Yes
2026-06-17 Jakob Marsee 102.5mph 102.5mph 34° 394ft Yes
2026-06-17 Javier Sanoja 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Owen Caissie 99.9mph 99.9mph 29° 406ft Yes
2026-06-12 Joey Ortiz 108.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-12 Jake Bauers 106.5mph 106.5mph 19° 391ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 19 total HRs
HRs Allowed
19 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-17 Owen Caissie #33 64 Citizens Bank Park 99.9mph 29.0° 406ft
2026-06-17 Kyle Stowers #71 54 Citizens Bank Park 107.7mph 25.0° 436ft
2026-06-17 Joe Mack #93 50 Citizens Bank Park 103.5mph 30.0° 401ft
2026-06-17 Jakob Marsee #171 35 Citizens Bank Park 102.5mph 34.0° 394ft
2026-06-12 Jake Bauers #9 75 American Family Field 106.5mph 19.0° 391ft
2026-06-06 Colson Montgomery #18 68 Citizens Bank Park 97.2mph 33.0° 380ft
2026-05-31 Max Muncy #32 68 Dodger Stadium 106.0mph 31.0° 431ft
2026-05-31 Alex Freeland #140 43 Dodger Stadium 96.7mph 26.0° 344ft
2026-05-31 Ryan Ward #193 34 Dodger Stadium 108.4mph 25.0° 400ft
2026-05-24 Travis Bazzana #101 48 Citizens Bank Park 105.3mph 29.0° 412.0ft
2026-05-18 Sal Stewart #17 76 Citizens Bank Park 101.3mph 27.0° 361.0ft
2026-05-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #235 15 Fenway Park 102.2mph 26.0° 376.0ft
2026-05-13 Trevor Story #244 13 Fenway Park 106.6mph 28.0° 424.0ft
2026-05-07 Shea Langeliers #42 40 Citizens Bank Park 108.4mph 32.0° 412.0ft
2026-05-07 Brent Rooker #128 21 Citizens Bank Park 100.2mph 33.0° 384.0ft
2026-05-07 Jacob Wilson #155 15 Citizens Bank Park 99.5mph 25.0° 350.0ft
2026-05-02 Xavier Edwards #223 13 loanDepot Park 100.6mph 27.0° 392.0ft
2026-04-24 Ronald Acuña Jr. #87 58 Truist Park 105.8mph 30.0° 410.0ft
2026-04-19 Michael Harris II #40 65 Citizens Bank Park 101.9mph 37.0° 376.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 378 33.1% +2.8 83.0 23.3° 6
Slider 244 21.4% +0.9 80.4 13.1° 1
Splitter 164 14.4% +0.5 76.8 5.5° 3
Sweeper 130 11.4% +0.5 75.3 18.1° 2
Sinker 123 10.8% +1.6 84.6 15.7° 2
Curveball 102 8.9% -0.6 80.0 14.3° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
72.8%
72.8%
All Scored Matchups
114 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-17 Javier Sanoja #191 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Jakob Marsee #171 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 Otto Lopez #149 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Xavier Edwards #140 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Joe Mack #93 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-17 Liam Hicks #91 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Kyle Stowers #71 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-17 Owen Caissie #33 64 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-17 Esteury Ruiz #2 82 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Joey Ortiz #217 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Christian Yelich #157 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 William Contreras #114 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Andrew Vaughn #101 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 Garrett Mitchell #91 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 David Hamilton #88 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-12 Brice Turang #61 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 Jackson Chourio #20 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 Jake Bauers #9 75 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-06 Sam Antonacci #190 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-06 Tristan Peters #185 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-06 Chase Meidroth #118 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Andrew Benintendi #37 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Colson Montgomery #18 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-06 Drew Romo #15 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Miguel Vargas #3 75 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Ryan Ward #193 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-31 Kyle Tucker #157 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Alex Freeland #140 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-31 Mookie Betts #82 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Freddie Freeman #52 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Dalton Rushing #40 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Max Muncy #32 68 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-31 Shohei Ohtani #23 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Andy Pages #16 73 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Steven Kwan #268 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Austin Hedges #223 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 David Fry #157 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Daniel Schneemann #120 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Travis Bazzana #101 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-24 Brayan Rocchio #81 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Rhys Hoskins #67 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 José Ramírez #60 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Chase DeLauter #48 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 TJ Friedl #131 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Ke'Bryan Hayes #121 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Matt McLain #91 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Eugenio Suárez #84 51 🟠 C · — ·
2026-05-18 Tyler Stephenson #79 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Spencer Steer #22 72 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Nathaniel Lowe #19 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Sal Stewart #17 76 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Elly De La Cruz #16 76 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Caleb Durbin #255 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 Trevor Story #244 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-13 Marcelo Mayer #241 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Jarren Duran #240 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Roman Anthony #239 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Ceddanne Rafaela #235 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-13 Carlos Narváez #226 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Wilyer Abreu #176 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Willson Contreras #122 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Jacob Wilson #155 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-07 Jeff McNeil #148 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Brent Rooker #128 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-07 Lawrence Butler #108 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Nick Kurtz #101 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Max Muncy #95 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Tyler Soderstrom #67 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 Carlos Cortes #47 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Shea Langeliers #42 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-02 Heriberto Hernández #242 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Xavier Edwards #223 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-02 Owen Caissie #212 16 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Agustín Ramírez #181 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Jakob Marsee #180 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Connor Norby #176 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Otto Lopez #163 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Graham Pauley #130 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-02 Liam Hicks #113 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Mauricio Dubón #148 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 Mike Yastrzemski #140 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Ozzie Albies #134 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Eli White #107 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Ronald Acuña Jr. #87 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-24 Austin Riley #79 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Dominic Smith #65 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Drake Baldwin #29 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Matt Olson #10 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Mike Yastrzemski #142 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Ozzie Albies #116 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Mauricio Dubón #85 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Austin Riley #53 62 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Ronald Acuña Jr. #43 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Dominic Smith #41 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Michael Harris II #40 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-19 Drake Baldwin #25 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Matt Olson #8 84 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Jorge Barrosa #159 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 James McCann #157 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Nolan Arenado #156 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Alek Thomas #149 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Jose Fernandez #148 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Ildemaro Vargas #147 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Geraldo Perdomo #140 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Tim Tawa #136 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Patrick Bailey #181 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 Jung Hoo Lee #170 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Tyler Fitzgerald #142 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Heliot Ramos #120 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Casey Schmitt #103 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Dominic Smith #88 24 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Wilmer Flores #65 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 Matt Chapman #64 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Willy Adames #63 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
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