Anthony Kay
LHP
CWS
12
HRs Allowed
9.4%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.8%
Overall HR/FB
5.82
FIP
5.4
xFIP
+0.42
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.82
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
5.4
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.42
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
71th pctile
9.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
128
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 13.3% | 1.0 | 93.1mph | 96.1mph | 26.5° | 356ft | Up +3.9pp |
| Last 15 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 6.5% | 0.5 | 94.1mph | 96.1mph | 26.5° | 356ft | Down -2.9pp |
| Last 30 | 56 | 7 | 6 | 10.7% | 0.86 | 98.2mph | 101.0mph | 28.0° | 382ft | Flat +1.3pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.2
Avg Max EV
113.4
Max EV Allowed
71
Hard-Hit Proxy · 70.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.7
Avg HR EV
27.2°
Avg HR Launch
394
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Travis Bazzana | 106.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Rhys Hoskins | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Brayan Rocchio | 100.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Austin Hedges | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Paul Goldschmidt | 107.8mph | 100.0mph | 25° | 349ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Anthony Volpe | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Ben Rice | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Cody Bellinger | 92.2mph | 92.2mph | 28° | 363ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Paul Goldschmidt | #18 | 70 | Yankee Stadium | 100.0mph | 25.0° | 349ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Cody Bellinger | #40 | 61 | Yankee Stadium | 92.2mph | 28.0° | 363ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Adolis García | #85 | 49 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.5mph | 30.0° | 407ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Brandon Marsh | #86 | 49 | Citizens Bank Park | 104.5mph | 23.0° | 401ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Wenceel Pérez | #141 | 44 | Rate Field | 100.3mph | 25.0° | 386ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Brooks Lee | #97 | 45 | Rate Field | 105.6mph | 37.0° | 386.0ft |
| 2026-05-03 | Miguel Andujar | #116 | 29 | Petco Park | 105.5mph | 22.0° | 407.0ft |
| 2026-05-03 | Manny Machado | #158 | 25 | Petco Park | 102.5mph | 32.0° | 397.0ft |
| 2026-04-27 | Jorge Soler | #43 | 47 | Rate Field | 107.9mph | 24.0° | 431.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Ildemaro Vargas | #160 | 33 | Chase Field | 103.8mph | 26.0° | 405.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Nolan Arenado | #182 | 28 | Chase Field | 102.3mph | 27.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Gary Sánchez | #52 | 47 | American Family Field | 104.1mph | 27.0° | 387.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 366 | 24.6% | +0.2 | 82.2 | 31.5° | 3 |
| Sweeper | 319 | 21.5% | +0.2 | 80.7 | 19.1° | 0 |
| Sinker | 265 | 17.8% | +1.0 | 85.2 | 6.8° | 5 |
| Cutter | 263 | 17.7% | +0.2 | 81.6 | 24.9° | 2 |
| Changeup | 203 | 13.7% | +0.9 | 82.5 | -4.2° | 1 |
| Slider | 69 | 4.6% | +0.6 | 82.2 | -1.4° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Austin Hedges | #198 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Petey Halpin | #195 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Brayan Rocchio | #172 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Gabriel Arias | #97 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | David Fry | #92 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Rhys Hoskins | #65 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Kyle Manzardo | #55 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Travis Bazzana | #41 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Anthony Volpe | #151 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | José Caballero | #76 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Cody Bellinger | #40 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Amed Rosario | #36 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Paul Goldschmidt | #18 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Jasson Domínguez | #8 | 75 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Ben Rice | #1 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Santiago Espinal | #198 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Alex Call | #186 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Kyle Tucker | #158 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Mookie Betts | #147 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Miguel Rojas | #118 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Freddie Freeman | #60 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Andy Pages | #37 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Max Muncy | #28 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Sandy León | #126 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Ha-Seong Kim | #125 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Ozzie Albies | #62 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Eli White | #57 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Austin Riley | #51 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Mauricio Dubón | #33 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Jorge Mateo | #18 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Matt Olson | #3 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Trea Turner | #124 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Edmundo Sosa | #89 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Brandon Marsh | #86 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Adolis García | #85 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Alec Bohm | #74 | 51 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Bryce Harper | #9 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Hao-Yu Lee | #203 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Jahmai Jones | #177 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Kevin McGonigle | #166 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Wenceel Pérez | #141 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Riley Greene | #135 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Matt Vierling | #124 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Zack Short | #109 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Spencer Torkelson | #59 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Dillon Dingler | #20 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Luke Keaschall | #129 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Austin Martin | #128 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Brooks Lee | #97 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Josh Bell | #72 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Orlando Arcia | #67 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Alex Jackson | #60 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Kody Clemens | #59 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Ryan Kreidler | #8 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Byron Buxton | #1 | 91 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Leo Rivas | #241 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Cole Young | #138 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Randy Arozarena | #115 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Josh Naylor | #111 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | J.P. Crawford | #90 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Julio Rodríguez | #53 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Cal Raleigh | #49 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Dominic Canzone | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-19 | Luke Raley | #2 | 89 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Lane Thomas | #168 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Kyle Isbel | #134 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Maikel Garcia | #119 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Nick Loftin | #111 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Starling Marte | #105 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Isaac Collins | #79 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #72 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Salvador Perez | #71 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #35 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Leo Rivas | #246 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | J.P. Crawford | #188 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Josh Naylor | #155 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Julio Rodríguez | #113 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Randy Arozarena | #106 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Cole Young | #99 | 31 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Cal Raleigh | #93 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Dominic Canzone | #81 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Luke Raley | #80 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jake Cronenworth | #236 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Jackson Merrill | #227 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #215 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Xander Bogaerts | #198 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Nick Castellanos | #186 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Ramón Laureano | #184 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Manny Machado | #158 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gavin Sheets | #126 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-03 | Miguel Andujar | #116 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Nolan Schanuel | #107 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Josh Lowe | #90 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Logan O'Hoppe | #79 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Jo Adell | #72 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Yoán Moncada | #62 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Zach Neto | #56 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Jorge Soler | #43 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Oswald Peraza | #40 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Mike Trout | #5 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Alek Thomas | #218 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Geraldo Perdomo | #217 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Gabriel Moreno | #183 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Nolan Arenado | #182 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Jose Fernandez | #161 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Ildemaro Vargas | #160 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ketel Marte | #134 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jorge Barrosa | #122 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Corbin Carroll | #78 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Drew Waters | #79 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Michael Massey | #77 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Kyle Isbel | #69 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Maikel Garcia | #66 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Jac Caglianone | #63 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Jonathan India | #61 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #44 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #36 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Salvador Perez | #35 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Brandon Lockridge | #185 | 26 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Joey Ortiz | #162 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Jeferson Quero | #150 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Sal Frelick | #138 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Blake Perkins | #130 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Luis Rengifo | #129 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | William Contreras | #97 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Brice Turang | #91 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Gary Sánchez | #52 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |