2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay LHP CWS
128 matchups scored · 15 game days
12 HRs Allowed
9.4% HR Rate (Pool)
20.8% Overall HR/FB
5.82 FIP
5.4 xFIP
+0.42 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.8
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
90th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.82
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
91th pctile
5.4
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.42
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
71th pctile
9.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
128
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 2 13.3% 1.0 93.1mph 96.1mph 26.5° 356ft Up +3.9pp
Last 15 31 4 2 6.5% 0.5 94.1mph 96.1mph 26.5° 356ft Down -2.9pp
Last 30 56 7 6 10.7% 0.86 98.2mph 101.0mph 28.0° 382ft Flat +1.3pp
Batted-Ball Damage
101 tracked BBE from 128 pool matchups
98.2
113.4
71
0
102.7
27.2°
394
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Travis Bazzana 106.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Rhys Hoskins 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Brayan Rocchio 100.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Austin Hedges 100.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Paul Goldschmidt 107.8mph 100.0mph 25° 349ft Yes
2026-06-17 Anthony Volpe 104.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Ben Rice 104.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Cody Bellinger 92.2mph 92.2mph 28° 363ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
15 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-17 Paul Goldschmidt #18 70 Yankee Stadium 100.0mph 25.0° 349ft
2026-06-17 Cody Bellinger #40 61 Yankee Stadium 92.2mph 28.0° 363ft
2026-06-05 Adolis García #85 49 Citizens Bank Park 103.5mph 30.0° 407ft
2026-06-05 Brandon Marsh #86 49 Citizens Bank Park 104.5mph 23.0° 401ft
2026-05-30 Wenceel Pérez #141 44 Rate Field 100.3mph 25.0° 386ft
2026-05-25 Brooks Lee #97 45 Rate Field 105.6mph 37.0° 386.0ft
2026-05-03 Miguel Andujar #116 29 Petco Park 105.5mph 22.0° 407.0ft
2026-05-03 Manny Machado #158 25 Petco Park 102.5mph 32.0° 397.0ft
2026-04-27 Jorge Soler #43 47 Rate Field 107.9mph 24.0° 431.0ft
2026-04-22 Ildemaro Vargas #160 33 Chase Field 103.8mph 26.0° 405.0ft
2026-04-22 Nolan Arenado #182 28 Chase Field 102.3mph 27.0° 411.0ft
2026-03-29 Gary Sánchez #52 47 American Family Field 104.1mph 27.0° 387.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 366 24.6% +0.2 82.2 31.5° 3
Sweeper 319 21.5% +0.2 80.7 19.1° 0
Sinker 265 17.8% +1.0 85.2 6.8° 5
Cutter 263 17.7% +0.2 81.6 24.9° 2
Changeup 203 13.7% +0.9 82.5 -4.2° 1
Slider 69 4.6% +0.6 82.2 -1.4° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.3%
70.3%
All Scored Matchups
128 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Austin Hedges #198 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Petey Halpin #195 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Brayan Rocchio #172 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Gabriel Arias #97 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 David Fry #92 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Rhys Hoskins #65 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Kyle Manzardo #55 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Travis Bazzana #41 59 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 Anthony Volpe #151 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 José Caballero #76 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Cody Bellinger #40 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-17 Amed Rosario #36 62 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Paul Goldschmidt #18 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 Jasson Domínguez #8 75 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Ben Rice #1 83 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Santiago Espinal #198 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-12 Alex Call #186 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Kyle Tucker #158 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Mookie Betts #147 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-12 Miguel Rojas #118 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Freddie Freeman #60 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Andy Pages #37 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 Max Muncy #28 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 Sandy León #126 12 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Ha-Seong Kim #125 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 Ozzie Albies #62 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Eli White #57 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Austin Riley #51 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 Mauricio Dubón #33 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Jorge Mateo #18 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 Matt Olson #3 80 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Trea Turner #124 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Edmundo Sosa #89 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Brandon Marsh #86 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Adolis García #85 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Alec Bohm #74 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-05 Bryce Harper #9 74 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Kyle Schwarber #1 83 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Hao-Yu Lee #203 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Jahmai Jones #177 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Kevin McGonigle #166 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Wenceel Pérez #141 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-30 Riley Greene #135 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Matt Vierling #124 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-30 Zack Short #109 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Spencer Torkelson #59 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Dillon Dingler #20 68 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Luke Keaschall #129 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-25 Austin Martin #128 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Brooks Lee #97 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-25 Josh Bell #72 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 Orlando Arcia #67 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Alex Jackson #60 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-25 Kody Clemens #59 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Ryan Kreidler #8 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 Byron Buxton #1 91 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Leo Rivas #241 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Cole Young #138 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Randy Arozarena #115 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Josh Naylor #111 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 J.P. Crawford #90 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 Julio Rodríguez #53 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Cal Raleigh #49 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 Dominic Canzone #38 62 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 Luke Raley #2 89 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Lane Thomas #168 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Kyle Isbel #134 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Maikel Garcia #119 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 Nick Loftin #111 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Starling Marte #105 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Isaac Collins #79 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Vinnie Pasquantino #72 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Salvador Perez #71 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-14 Bobby Witt Jr. #35 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Leo Rivas #246 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-09 J.P. Crawford #188 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Josh Naylor #155 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Julio Rodríguez #113 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-09 Randy Arozarena #106 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Cole Young #99 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-09 Cal Raleigh #93 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Dominic Canzone #81 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Luke Raley #80 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Jake Cronenworth #236 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Jackson Merrill #227 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Fernando Tatis Jr. #215 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Xander Bogaerts #198 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Nick Castellanos #186 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Ramón Laureano #184 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Manny Machado #158 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-03 Gavin Sheets #126 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Miguel Andujar #116 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-27 Nolan Schanuel #107 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Josh Lowe #90 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 Logan O'Hoppe #79 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Jo Adell #72 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Yoán Moncada #62 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Zach Neto #56 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-27 Jorge Soler #43 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-27 Oswald Peraza #40 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Mike Trout #5 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Alek Thomas #218 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Geraldo Perdomo #217 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Gabriel Moreno #183 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-22 Nolan Arenado #182 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-22 Jose Fernandez #161 33 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-22 Ildemaro Vargas #160 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-22 Ketel Marte #134 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Jorge Barrosa #122 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Corbin Carroll #78 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-09 Drew Waters #79 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-09 Michael Massey #77 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-09 Kyle Isbel #69 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Maikel Garcia #66 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Jac Caglianone #63 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Jonathan India #61 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-09 Bobby Witt Jr. #44 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-09 Vinnie Pasquantino #36 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-09 Salvador Perez #35 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-29 Brandon Lockridge #185 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Joey Ortiz #162 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Jeferson Quero #150 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Sal Frelick #138 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Blake Perkins #130 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Luis Rengifo #129 33 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 William Contreras #97 39 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Brice Turang #91 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Gary Sánchez #52 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
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