Brandon Woodruff
RHP
MIL
2
HRs Allowed
3.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
11.4%
Overall HR/FB
4.12
FIP
4.43
xFIP
-0.31
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.29
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
40th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
65.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.12
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
54th pctile
4.43
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.31
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
32th pctile
3.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
63
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
3.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.0mph | · | · | · | Down -3.2pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.0mph | · | · | · | Down -3.2pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.0mph | · | · | · | Down -3.2pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.8
Avg Max EV
113.6
Max EV Allowed
36
Hard-Hit Proxy · 65.5%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
101.9
Avg HR EV
32.5°
Avg HR Launch
390
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Noelvi Marte | 108.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Tyler Stephenson | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Eugenio Suárez | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ildemaro Vargas | 108.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Corbin Carroll | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Oneil Cruz | 113.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Brandon Lowe | 108.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Ryan O'Hearn | 107.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | James Wood | #7 | 58 | American Family Field | 101.1mph | 32.0° | 393.0ft |
| 2026-03-31 | Jonathan Aranda | #59 | 45 | American Family Field | 102.8mph | 33.0° | 388.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 217 | 43.9% | -2.5 | 81.6 | 36.0° | 2 |
| Changeup | 98 | 19.8% | -1.6 | 83.0 | 17.9° | 0 |
| Sinker | 97 | 19.6% | +2.0 | 83.3 | 22.9° | 2 |
| Cutter | 55 | 11.1% | -1.9 | 87.2 | 28.8° | 0 |
| Curveball | 22 | 4.5% | -1.1 | 79.5 | 3.4° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
65.5%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Blake Dunn | #170 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Matt McLain | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Tyler Stephenson | #88 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Eugenio Suárez | #79 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Noelvi Marte | #39 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Nathaniel Lowe | #38 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Sal Stewart | #35 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Spencer Steer | #33 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | JJ Bleday | #7 | 75 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | James McCann | #170 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | #154 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Adrian Del Castillo | #122 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Geraldo Perdomo | #111 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ketel Marte | #105 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Alek Thomas | #76 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Nolan Arenado | #45 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Corbin Carroll | #28 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ildemaro Vargas | #19 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Nick Gonzales | #223 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Henry Davis | #211 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Spencer Horwitz | #153 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Konnor Griffin | #149 | 45 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Bryan Reynolds | #136 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Marcell Ozuna | #123 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Ryan O'Hearn | #116 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Brandon Lowe | #50 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Oneil Cruz | #12 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Graham Pauley | #225 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Heriberto Hernández | #222 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jakob Marsee | #221 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Liam Hicks | #181 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Agustín Ramírez | #173 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Xavier Edwards | #162 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Connor Norby | #139 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Otto Lopez | #67 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Owen Caissie | #42 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Drew Millas | #141 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jacob Young | #105 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jorbit Vivas | #92 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Brady House | #90 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Luis García Jr. | #64 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Daylen Lile | #59 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Nasim Nuñez | #38 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | CJ Abrams | #31 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | James Wood | #7 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Abraham Toro | #141 | 26 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jarren Duran | #124 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Romy Gonzalez | #107 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Roman Anthony | #104 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Carlos Narvaez | #102 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Trevor Story | #101 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #70 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Alex Bregman | #40 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Wilyer Abreu | #23 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Chandler Simpson | #214 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jake Mangum | #195 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Taylor Walls | #184 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Josh Lowe | #75 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Christopher Morel | #61 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jonathan Aranda | #59 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-31 | Yandy Diaz | #37 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Brandon Lowe | #20 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Junior Caminero | #10 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |