2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Kai-Wei Teng
Kai-Wei Teng RHP HOU
77 matchups scored · 9 game days · 8 listed today
8 HRs Allowed
10.4% HR Rate (Pool)
16.9% Overall HR/FB
4.21 FIP
3.9 xFIP
+0.32 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.89
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
16.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
82th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
80.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.21
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
57th pctile
3.9
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.32
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
66th pctile
10.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
77
Pool Matchups
8
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
10.4%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 8/8 using split data
5
3
0
5L / 3R
5 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Kerry Carpenter Riley Greene Colt Keith Kevin Mcgonigle Zach Mckinstry
Today Context
HOU @ DET · 1:10p
0.96
4.5
14.0%
proxy_pa_leaders
Comerica Park Roof open 59°F Weather -1.0 BP FIP 4.75
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters HOU @ DET · 1:10p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
8
RvR Same
🟡 B 71 32.0%vs RHP 12.5%vs RHH 0.301 9.7%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 99.0
39
LvR Edge
🟠 C 59 24.4%vs RHP 29.2%vs LHH 0.223 8.2%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
69
RvR Same
🟠 C 52 22.4%vs RHP 12.5%vs RHH 0.190 9.9%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 1 EV 103.0
97
LvR Edge
⚪ D 46 13.5%vs RHP 29.2%vs LHH 0.152 9.6%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 82.0
129
RvR Same
⚪ D 40 9.7%vs RHP 12.5%vs RHH 0.141 6.6%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
131
LvR Edge Splits
⚪ D 40 9.1%vs RHP 29.2%vs LHH 0.112 7.4%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 1 EV 108.8
148
LvR Edge
⚪ D 37 6.5%vs RHP 29.2%vs LHH 0.137 7.6%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
207
LvR Edge
⚪ D 25 5.7%vs RHP 29.2%vs LHH 0.082 4.1%
Park 0.96 Wind 4.5 NE Roof open BP 14.0%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
Comerica Park
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 3 17.6% 1.5 97.5mph 101.7mph 29.7° 367ft Up +7.2pp
Last 15 24 3 3 12.5% 1.0 99.1mph 101.7mph 29.7° 367ft Up +2.1pp
Last 30 50 6 6 12.0% 1.0 99.1mph 100.0mph 29.0° 371ft Flat +1.6pp
Batted-Ball Damage
68 tracked BBE from 77 pool matchups
99.1
113.4
55
0
101.0
28.1°
370
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Brayan Rocchio 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-21 Kyle Manzardo 102.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Colt Keith 108.8mph 99.6mph 29° 347ft Yes
2026-06-15 James Outman 103.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-15 Spencer Torkelson 103.0mph 103.0mph 27° 372ft Yes
2026-06-15 Kevin McGonigle 102.5mph 102.5mph 33° 383ft Yes
2026-06-09 Mike Trout 113.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-09 Sebastián Rivero 104.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
9 days · 8 total HRs
HRs Allowed
8 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-15 Spencer Torkelson #51 54 Minute Maid Park 103.0mph 27.0° 372ft
2026-06-15 Colt Keith #115 37 Minute Maid Park 99.6mph 29.0° 347ft
2026-06-15 Kevin McGonigle #119 36 Minute Maid Park 102.5mph 33.0° 383ft
2026-06-04 Ryan O'Hearn #54 51 Minute Maid Park 94.0mph 31.0° 349ft
2026-05-29 Jackson Chourio #108 47 Minute Maid Park 107.1mph 24.0° 431ft
2026-05-29 David Hamilton #242 17 Minute Maid Park 94.0mph 30.0° 343ft
2026-05-10 Spencer Steer #18 52 Great American Ball Park 103.9mph 25.0° 355.0ft
2026-04-28 Pete Alonso #32 64 Camden Yards 104.0mph 26.0° 380.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sweeper 343 33.9% -1.0 80.7 15.7° 3
Fastball 274 27.1% +2.2 85.1 29.9° 4
Sinker 166 16.4% -0.4 84.5 17.5° 1
Changeup 106 10.5% +3.1 83.3 1.9° 1
Curveball 102 10.1% -0.9 83.0 -2.8° 0
Slider 21 2.1% +0.6 85.2 26.5° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
80.9%
80.9%
All Scored Matchups
77 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Steven Kwan #228 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Petey Halpin #212 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Patrick Bailey #192 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Brayan Rocchio #185 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Gabriel Arias #114 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 Daniel Schneemann #113 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Kyle Manzardo #79 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Travis Bazzana #78 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Zach McKinstry #126 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-15 Kevin McGonigle #119 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-15 Colt Keith #115 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-15 Gleyber Torres #77 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 James Outman #73 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 Spencer Torkelson #51 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-15 Riley Greene #47 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 Kerry Carpenter #41 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 Dillon Dingler #13 71 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Sebastián Rivero #223 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Nolan Schanuel #168 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Jo Adell #107 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Oswald Peraza #73 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Wade Meckler #47 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Zach Neto #37 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Mike Trout #30 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-04 Nick Gonzales #104 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Marcell Ozuna #85 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Bryan Reynolds #55 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Ryan O'Hearn #54 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-04 Henry Davis #40 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Spencer Horwitz #30 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Oneil Cruz #5 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-04 Brandon Lowe #4 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 David Hamilton #242 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-29 Luis Rengifo #235 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Sal Frelick #197 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Brice Turang #134 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 William Contreras #125 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Jackson Chourio #108 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-29 Garrett Mitchell #78 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Christian Yelich #52 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Jake Bauers #20 68 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Nico Hoerner #259 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Seiya Suzuki #191 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Pete Crow-Armstrong #190 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Alex Bregman #185 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Dansby Swanson #168 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Michael Busch #106 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-23 Moisés Ballesteros #85 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Miguel Amaya #81 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Michael Conforto #30 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Alejandro Osuna #241 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Danny Jansen #206 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-16 Josh Jung #142 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Justin Foscue #116 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Evan Carter #113 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Joc Pederson #112 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Brandon Nimmo #94 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Jake Burger #82 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Ezequiel Duran #74 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Matt McLain #75 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Eugenio Suárez #49 43 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-10 TJ Friedl #48 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Tyler Stephenson #44 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Ke'Bryan Hayes #32 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Spencer Steer #18 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-10 Elly De La Cruz #14 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Nathaniel Lowe #12 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Sal Stewart #7 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-28 Blaze Alexander #139 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-28 Dylan Beavers #40 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Leody Taveras #34 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Jeremiah Jackson #33 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Pete Alonso #32 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-28 Taylor Ward #31 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-28 Coby Mayo #27 68 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-28 Samuel Basallo #14 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-28 Gunnar Henderson #12 76 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
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