2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Spencer Strider
Spencer Strider RHP ATL
70 matchups scored · 8 game days
12 HRs Allowed
17.1% HR Rate (Pool)
19.0% Overall HR/FB
4.35 FIP
3.84 xFIP
+0.51 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
19.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.35
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
62th pctile
3.84
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.51
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
74th pctile
17.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
70
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
17.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 2 12.5% 1.0 99.1mph 102.8mph 27.5° 362ft Down -4.6pp
Last 15 25 3 3 12.0% 1.0 98.9mph 102.8mph 26.7° 370ft Down -5.1pp
Last 30 52 6 9 17.3% 1.5 97.8mph 102.8mph 31.8° 383ft Flat +0.2pp
Batted-Ball Damage
64 tracked BBE from 70 pool matchups
98.0
111.7
45
0
103.4
30.5°
392
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-12 Juan Soto 109.1mph 109.1mph 24° 382ft Yes
2026-06-12 Jared Young 104.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-12 Bo Bichette 103.5mph 96.6mph 31° 341ft Yes
2026-06-12 MJ Melendez 102.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-12 Carson Benge 100.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Bryan Reynolds 108.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-06 Jared Triolo 100.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Elly De La Cruz 111.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
8 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-12 Juan Soto #32 63 Citi Field 109.1mph 24.0° 382ft
2026-06-12 Bo Bichette #167 37 Citi Field 96.6mph 31.0° 341ft
2026-05-31 Eugenio Suárez #106 49 Great American Ball Park 102.8mph 25.0° 387ft
2026-05-26 Jarren Duran #77 49 Fenway Park 106.9mph 27.0° 412.0ft
2026-05-26 Ceddanne Rafaela #131 42 Fenway Park 101.0mph 43.0° 368.0ft
2026-05-26 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #244 20 Fenway Park 98.3mph 30.0° 393.0ft
2026-05-21 Owen Caissie #24 51 loanDepot Park 105.6mph 39.0° 403.0ft
2026-05-21 Kyle Stowers #53 36 loanDepot Park 102.7mph 33.0° 382.0ft
2026-05-15 Marcelo Mayer #198 31 Truist Park 101.9mph 34.0° 378.0ft
2026-05-09 Andy Pages #21 50 Dodger Stadium 106.7mph 22.0° 397.0ft
2026-05-03 Mickey Moniak #7 50 Coors Field 105.0mph 31.0° 438.0ft
2026-05-03 TJ Rumfield #54 37 Coors Field 103.9mph 27.0° 423.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 329 47.6% +1.2 84.9 32.5° 5
Slider 191 27.6% +1.4 81.6 15.0° 3
Curveball 100 14.5% +0.1 78.8 19.6° 1
Changeup 71 10.3% -1.9 83.0 20.2° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.3%
70.3%
All Scored Matchups
70 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-12 Brett Baty #183 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Bo Bichette #167 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-12 Luis Torrens #130 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Carson Benge #86 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 Marcus Semien #72 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-12 MJ Melendez #56 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 Juan Soto #32 63 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-12 Jared Young #30 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Jared Triolo #219 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Nick Gonzales #159 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Bryan Reynolds #77 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Endy Rodríguez #60 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-06 Ryan O'Hearn #58 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-06 Spencer Horwitz #53 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Brandon Lowe #13 70 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-06 Oneil Cruz #11 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 P.J. Higgins #196 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Blake Dunn #163 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Eugenio Suárez #106 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-31 Spencer Steer #85 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Will Benson #84 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Sal Stewart #36 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Elly De La Cruz #13 73 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 JJ Bleday #5 82 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Nathaniel Lowe #2 86 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #244 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-26 Nick Sogard #239 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-26 Mickey Gasper #234 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Marcelo Mayer #200 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Ceddanne Rafaela #131 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-26 Wilyer Abreu #117 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Masataka Yoshida #100 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Jarren Duran #77 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-26 Willson Contreras #54 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Javier Sanoja #95 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-21 Agustín Ramírez #82 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 Connor Norby #76 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-21 Jakob Marsee #70 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-21 Otto Lopez #60 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-21 Kyle Stowers #53 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-21 Xavier Edwards #52 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Liam Hicks #40 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-21 Owen Caissie #24 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-15 Caleb Durbin #244 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Marcelo Mayer #198 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-15 Andruw Monasterio #186 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Carlos Narváez #171 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Ceddanne Rafaela #132 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Jarren Duran #125 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Wilyer Abreu #81 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Mickey Gasper #67 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Willson Contreras #44 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Alex Freeland #59 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-09 Hyeseong Kim #57 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Will Smith #35 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Kyle Tucker #33 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Freddie Freeman #28 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Max Muncy #22 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 Andy Pages #21 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-09 Teoscar Hernández #18 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-09 Shohei Ohtani #17 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Ezequiel Tovar #123 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-03 Troy Johnston #72 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-03 Brenton Doyle #65 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Kyle Karros #55 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 TJ Rumfield #54 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-03 Willi Castro #42 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 Edouard Julien #41 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-03 Mickey Moniak #7 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-03 Hunter Goodman #1 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
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