Chris Sale
LHP
ATL
7
HRs Allowed
6.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
15.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.57
FIP
3.31
xFIP
+0.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.54
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
15.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
73th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
59.6%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.57
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
33th pctile
3.31
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
63th pctile
6.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
6.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.6mph | · | · | · | Down -6.1pp |
| Last 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.1mph | · | · | · | Down -6.1pp |
| Last 30 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 97.1mph | · | · | · | Down -6.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.5
Avg Max EV
113.2
Max EV Allowed
56
Hard-Hit Proxy · 59.6%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.6
Avg HR EV
29.6°
Avg HR Launch
399
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | William Contreras | 110.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jackson Chourio | 108.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Joey Ortiz | 105.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Blake Perkins | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brice Turang | 100.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Chase Meidroth | 105.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Luisangel Acuña | 105.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Derek Hill | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Ian Happ | #9 | 73 | Truist Park | 107.6mph | 28.0° | 424.0ft |
| 2026-05-08 | Freddie Freeman | #39 | 45 | Dodger Stadium | 107.2mph | 24.0° | 413.0ft |
| 2026-04-26 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 80 | Truist Park | 103.4mph | 36.0° | 377.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Rhys Hoskins | #34 | 43 | Truist Park | 102.7mph | 28.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Zach Neto | #14 | 51 | Angel Stadium | 107.0mph | 29.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Jo Adell | #29 | 55 | Angel Stadium | 113.2mph | 24.0° | 411.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Shea Langeliers | #68 | 49 | Truist Park | 98.1mph | 38.0° | 355.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 578 | 40.6% | -1.6 | 77.0 | 7.3° | 0 |
| Fastball | 562 | 39.5% | -1.0 | 84.0 | 27.7° | 5 |
| Changeup | 170 | 11.9% | -0.5 | 85.1 | 0.9° | 1 |
| Sinker | 113 | 7.9% | -3.0 | 76.5 | -9.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
59.6%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Joey Ortiz | #211 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Andrew Vaughn | #169 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Blake Perkins | #152 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | William Contreras | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Garrett Mitchell | #102 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Brice Turang | #80 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Gary Sánchez | #57 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-20 | Jackson Chourio | #37 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Luisangel Acuña | #215 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Tristan Peters | #189 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Chase Meidroth | #182 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Edgar Quero | #175 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Derek Hill | #87 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Randal Grichuk | #39 | 59 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Miguel Vargas | #29 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Charles McAdoo | #159 | 8 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Tyler Heineman | #137 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Myles Straw | #136 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #133 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Nathan Lukes | #130 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Ernie Clement | #81 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | George Springer | #72 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Yohendrick Piñango | #52 | 53 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Kazuma Okamoto | #25 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Nick Sogard | #102 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Carlos Narváez | #97 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Caleb Durbin | #96 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Andruw Monasterio | #95 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #66 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Wilyer Abreu | #62 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #58 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Jarren Duran | #31 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-28 | Willson Contreras | #22 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Javier Sanoja | #217 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Connor Norby | #174 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jakob Marsee | #173 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Agustín Ramírez | #164 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Kyle Stowers | #150 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Otto Lopez | #123 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Liam Hicks | #102 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Xavier Edwards | #91 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Owen Caissie | #73 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Alex Bregman | #139 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Nico Hoerner | #138 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Matt Shaw | #109 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Miguel Amaya | #98 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #82 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Michael Busch | #77 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Dansby Swanson | #75 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Seiya Suzuki | #41 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-14 | Ian Happ | #9 | 73 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Hyeseong Kim | #65 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Alex Freeland | #56 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Freddie Freeman | #39 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Will Smith | #34 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Kyle Tucker | #29 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Max Muncy | #20 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Andy Pages | #19 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Teoscar Hernández | #18 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Shohei Ohtani | #17 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Ezequiel Tovar | #125 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Troy Johnston | #76 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Willi Castro | #69 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Brenton Doyle | #68 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Kyle Karros | #60 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | TJ Rumfield | #59 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Edouard Julien | #43 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Mickey Moniak | #10 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Hunter Goodman | #5 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Felix Reyes | #239 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Rafael Marchán | #215 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Alec Bohm | #147 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Dylan Moore | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Trea Turner | #124 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Edmundo Sosa | #104 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Adolis García | #101 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Bryce Harper | #26 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-26 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | J.T. Realmuto | #126 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Alec Bohm | #115 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Bryson Stott | #107 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Justin Crawford | #99 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Trea Turner | #83 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Brandon Marsh | #64 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Adolis García | #28 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Bryce Harper | #10 | 82 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Steven Kwan | #76 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Angel Martinez | #68 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Daniel Schneemann | #51 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Nolan Jones | #49 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Bo Naylor | #43 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Rhys Hoskins | #34 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gabriel Arias | #25 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jose Ramirez | #24 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Kyle Manzardo | #16 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Luis Rengifo | #154 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Nolan Schanuel | #144 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Logan O'Hoppe | #99 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jorge Soler | #90 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Yoan Moncada | #37 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Taylor Ward | #36 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jo Adell | #29 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Zach Neto | #14 | 51 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Mike Trout | #12 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Luis Urias | #188 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jacob Wilson | #165 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | JJ Bleday | #116 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Brent Rooker | #100 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Lawrence Butler | #88 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Max Muncy | #84 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Shea Langeliers | #68 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tyler Soderstrom | #63 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Nick Kurtz | #15 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |