2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp LHP MIN
92 matchups scored · 11 game days
10 HRs Allowed
10.9% HR Rate (Pool)
12.5% Overall HR/FB
3.8 FIP
4.47 xFIP
-0.67 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.91
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
49th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.8
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
41th pctile
4.47
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.67
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
15th pctile
10.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
92
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 3 21.4% 1.5 101.3mph 109.4mph 32.7° 411ft Up +10.5pp
Last 15 20 3 4 20.0% 1.33 100.9mph 108.9mph 30.2° 418ft Up +9.1pp
Last 30 47 6 6 12.8% 1.0 97.9mph 107.0mph 28.8° 418ft Flat +1.9pp
Batted-Ball Damage
78 tracked BBE from 92 pool matchups
98.4
116.6
60
0
107.1
28.5°
416
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Ketel Marte 108.1mph 108.1mph 40° 375ft Yes
2026-06-19 Ildemaro Vargas 107.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Corbin Carroll 103.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Gabriel Moreno 102.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Jordan Walker 116.6mph 116.6mph 24° 454ft Yes
2026-06-13 Pedro Pagés 106.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Iván Herrera 105.3mph 103.6mph 34° 403ft Yes
2026-06-13 Masyn Winn 100.4mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
11 days · 10 total HRs
HRs Allowed
10 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 Ketel Marte #125 43 Chase Field 108.1mph 40.0° 375ft
2026-06-13 Jordan Walker #32 62 Target Field 116.6mph 24.0° 454ft
2026-06-13 Iván Herrera #152 37 Target Field 103.6mph 34.0° 403ft
2026-06-07 Starling Marte #199 28 Target Field 107.5mph 23.0° 441ft
2026-05-27 Munetaka Murakami #7 77 Rate Field 108.3mph 24.0° 432.0ft
2026-05-27 Chase Meidroth #143 41 Rate Field 97.9mph 28.0° 400.0ft
2026-05-16 Jackson Chourio #58 58 Target Field 102.6mph 24.0° 400.0ft
2026-05-08 Bo Naylor #204 14 Progressive Field 105.2mph 26.0° 403.0ft
2026-05-02 Kazuma Okamoto #109 30 Target Field 111.7mph 33.0° 453.0ft
2026-04-27 Cal Raleigh #68 38 Target Field 109.9mph 29.0° 396.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 288 29.9% +1.0 83.1 34.5° 2
Slider 287 29.8% -0.6 82.5 10.8° 1
Curveball 163 16.9% +1.5 81.9 7.4° 1
Changeup 128 13.3% +0.0 84.4 11.2° 2
Sinker 96 10.0% +1.9 83.8 2.5° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.9%
76.9%
All Scored Matchups
92 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Geraldo Perdomo #190 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Ildemaro Vargas #168 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Adrian Del Castillo #166 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Nolan Arenado #159 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Ketel Marte #125 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-19 Gabriel Moreno #56 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Corbin Carroll #26 65 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 José Fermín #213 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Masyn Winn #197 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 Pedro Pagés #170 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Iván Herrera #152 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-13 Nathan Church #149 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 Alec Burleson #37 61 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Jordan Walker #32 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-07 Isaac Collins #211 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Starling Marte #199 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-07 Nick Loftin #180 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Lane Thomas #171 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Vinnie Pasquantino #160 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Carter Jensen #111 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Luisangel Acuña #249 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Jacob Gonzalez #236 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Sam Antonacci #215 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Edgar Quero #173 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 Chase Meidroth #162 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Derek Hill #161 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Andrew Benintendi #98 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Randal Grichuk #55 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Miguel Vargas #19 69 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Luisangel Acuña #243 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Edgar Quero #180 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Sam Antonacci #166 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Chase Meidroth #143 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-27 Derek Hill #95 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Colson Montgomery #17 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Miguel Vargas #11 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Munetaka Murakami #7 77 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-27 Randal Grichuk #3 81 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Caleb Durbin #260 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Carlos Narváez #221 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Marcelo Mayer #210 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Roman Anthony #208 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Trevor Story #194 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Jarren Duran #141 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Ceddanne Rafaela #105 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Wilyer Abreu #104 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Willson Contreras #70 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-16 Joey Ortiz #242 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Sal Frelick #237 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-16 Blake Perkins #219 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-16 Luis Rengifo #218 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Andrew Vaughn #210 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 William Contreras #186 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Brice Turang #80 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Gary Sánchez #68 55 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-16 Jackson Chourio #58 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-08 Steven Kwan #211 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Brayan Rocchio #207 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-08 Bo Naylor #204 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-08 Kyle Manzardo #192 17 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-08 Rhys Hoskins #168 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-08 José Ramírez #129 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Chase DeLauter #125 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Angel Martínez #116 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-08 Daniel Schneemann #97 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Davis Schneider #236 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Andrés Giménez #217 14 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 George Springer #203 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Nathan Lukes #194 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Daulton Varsho #193 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #178 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Ernie Clement #168 22 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Jesús Sánchez #123 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Kazuma Okamoto #109 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-27 Leo Rivas #132 16 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Brendan Donovan #129 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-27 Josh Naylor #122 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Cole Young #112 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 Julio Rodríguez #111 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-27 J.P. Crawford #101 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Randy Arozarena #100 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-27 Cal Raleigh #68 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-27 Luke Raley #26 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-22 Marcus Semien #252 12 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-22 Brett Baty #221 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-22 Bo Bichette #220 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Mark Vientos #215 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Luis Robert Jr. #204 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Carson Benge #196 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-22 Jorge Polanco #194 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Francisco Lindor #167 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 Francisco Alvarez #83 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
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