Connor Prielipp
LHP
MIN
10
HRs Allowed
10.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.5%
Overall HR/FB
3.8
FIP
4.47
xFIP
-0.67
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.91
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
49th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.8
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
41th pctile
4.47
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.67
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
15th pctile
10.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
92
Pool Matchups
10
HRs Allowed (Pool)
3
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 21.4% | 1.5 | 101.3mph | 109.4mph | 32.7° | 411ft | Up +10.5pp |
| Last 15 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 20.0% | 1.33 | 100.9mph | 108.9mph | 30.2° | 418ft | Up +9.1pp |
| Last 30 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 12.8% | 1.0 | 97.9mph | 107.0mph | 28.8° | 418ft | Flat +1.9pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.4
Avg Max EV
116.6
Max EV Allowed
60
Hard-Hit Proxy · 76.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
107.1
Avg HR EV
28.5°
Avg HR Launch
416
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Ketel Marte | 108.1mph | 108.1mph | 40° | 375ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Ildemaro Vargas | 107.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Corbin Carroll | 103.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Gabriel Moreno | 102.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jordan Walker | 116.6mph | 116.6mph | 24° | 454ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Pedro Pagés | 106.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Iván Herrera | 105.3mph | 103.6mph | 34° | 403ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | Masyn Winn | 100.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Ketel Marte | #125 | 43 | Chase Field | 108.1mph | 40.0° | 375ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Jordan Walker | #32 | 62 | Target Field | 116.6mph | 24.0° | 454ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Iván Herrera | #152 | 37 | Target Field | 103.6mph | 34.0° | 403ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Starling Marte | #199 | 28 | Target Field | 107.5mph | 23.0° | 441ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Munetaka Murakami | #7 | 77 | Rate Field | 108.3mph | 24.0° | 432.0ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Chase Meidroth | #143 | 41 | Rate Field | 97.9mph | 28.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Jackson Chourio | #58 | 58 | Target Field | 102.6mph | 24.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-05-08 | Bo Naylor | #204 | 14 | Progressive Field | 105.2mph | 26.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-05-02 | Kazuma Okamoto | #109 | 30 | Target Field | 111.7mph | 33.0° | 453.0ft |
| 2026-04-27 | Cal Raleigh | #68 | 38 | Target Field | 109.9mph | 29.0° | 396.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 288 | 29.9% | +1.0 | 83.1 | 34.5° | 2 |
| Slider | 287 | 29.8% | -0.6 | 82.5 | 10.8° | 1 |
| Curveball | 163 | 16.9% | +1.5 | 81.9 | 7.4° | 1 |
| Changeup | 128 | 13.3% | +0.0 | 84.4 | 11.2° | 2 |
| Sinker | 96 | 10.0% | +1.9 | 83.8 | 2.5° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.9%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Geraldo Perdomo | #190 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ildemaro Vargas | #168 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Adrian Del Castillo | #166 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Nolan Arenado | #159 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ketel Marte | #125 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gabriel Moreno | #56 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Corbin Carroll | #26 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | José Fermín | #213 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Masyn Winn | #197 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Pedro Pagés | #170 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Iván Herrera | #152 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Nathan Church | #149 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Alec Burleson | #37 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jordan Walker | #32 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Isaac Collins | #211 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Starling Marte | #199 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Nick Loftin | #180 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Lane Thomas | #171 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #160 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Carter Jensen | #111 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Luisangel Acuña | #249 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jacob Gonzalez | #236 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Sam Antonacci | #215 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Edgar Quero | #173 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Chase Meidroth | #162 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Derek Hill | #161 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Andrew Benintendi | #98 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Randal Grichuk | #55 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Miguel Vargas | #19 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Luisangel Acuña | #243 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Edgar Quero | #180 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Sam Antonacci | #166 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Chase Meidroth | #143 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Derek Hill | #95 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Colson Montgomery | #17 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Miguel Vargas | #11 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Munetaka Murakami | #7 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Randal Grichuk | #3 | 81 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Caleb Durbin | #260 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Carlos Narváez | #221 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Marcelo Mayer | #210 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Roman Anthony | #208 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Trevor Story | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jarren Duran | #141 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #105 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Wilyer Abreu | #104 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Willson Contreras | #70 | 48 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Joey Ortiz | #242 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Sal Frelick | #237 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Blake Perkins | #219 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Luis Rengifo | #218 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Andrew Vaughn | #210 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | William Contreras | #186 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Brice Turang | #80 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Gary Sánchez | #68 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jackson Chourio | #58 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Steven Kwan | #211 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Brayan Rocchio | #207 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Bo Naylor | #204 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-08 | Kyle Manzardo | #192 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Rhys Hoskins | #168 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | José Ramírez | #129 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Chase DeLauter | #125 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Angel Martínez | #116 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-08 | Daniel Schneemann | #97 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Davis Schneider | #236 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Andrés Giménez | #217 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | George Springer | #203 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Nathan Lukes | #194 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Daulton Varsho | #193 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #178 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Ernie Clement | #168 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Jesús Sánchez | #123 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-02 | Kazuma Okamoto | #109 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Leo Rivas | #132 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Brendan Donovan | #129 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Josh Naylor | #122 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Cole Young | #112 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Julio Rodríguez | #111 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | J.P. Crawford | #101 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Randy Arozarena | #100 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Cal Raleigh | #68 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Luke Raley | #26 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Marcus Semien | #252 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Brett Baty | #221 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Bo Bichette | #220 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Mark Vientos | #215 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Luis Robert Jr. | #204 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Carson Benge | #196 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jorge Polanco | #194 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Francisco Lindor | #167 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Francisco Alvarez | #83 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |