Michael Soroka
RHP
AZ
11
HRs Allowed
8.4%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.05
FIP
3.31
xFIP
-0.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.73
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
57th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
63.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.05
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
18th pctile
3.31
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
34th pctile
8.4%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
131
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
8.4%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 23.5% | 2.0 | 96.9mph | 105.8mph | 28.8° | 426ft | Up +15.1pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 20.0% | 1.67 | 98.1mph | 103.9mph | 29.2° | 414ft | Up +11.6pp |
| Last 30 | 50 | 6 | 6 | 12.0% | 1.0 | 95.0mph | 103.6mph | 29.2° | 411ft | Up +3.6pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.1
Avg Max EV
112.0
Max EV Allowed
70
Hard-Hit Proxy · 63.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.8
Avg HR EV
28.7°
Avg HR Launch
409
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Josh Bell | 107.1mph | 107.1mph | 27° | 435ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Víctor Caratini | 106.1mph | 106.1mph | 30° | 430ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Kody Clemens | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Royce Lewis | 105.2mph | 105.2mph | 28° | 427ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | Byron Buxton | 103.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Trevor Larnach | 100.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt McLain | 108.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Noelvi Marte | 104.8mph | 104.8mph | 30° | 413ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Royce Lewis | #93 | 49 | Chase Field | 105.2mph | 28.0° | 427ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Josh Bell | #127 | 43 | Chase Field | 107.1mph | 27.0° | 435ft |
| 2026-06-19 | Víctor Caratini | #170 | 33 | Chase Field | 106.1mph | 30.0° | 430ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Noelvi Marte | #114 | 46 | Great American Ball Park | 104.8mph | 30.0° | 413ft |
| 2026-06-07 | CJ Abrams | #73 | 50 | Chase Field | 96.2mph | 31.0° | 367ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Freddie Freeman | #93 | 48 | Chase Field | 102.2mph | 29.0° | 394ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Brandon Lowe | #176 | 25 | Chase Field | 104.9mph | 26.0° | 435.0ft |
| 2026-04-30 | William Contreras | #145 | 17 | American Family Field | 105.9mph | 29.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-30 | Sal Frelick | #161 | 15 | American Family Field | 102.0mph | 28.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-04-23 | Andrew Benintendi | #66 | 43 | Chase Field | 104.5mph | 32.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-04-10 | Brandon Marsh | #141 | 38 | Citizens Bank Park | 103.2mph | 26.0° | 372.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slurve | 441 | 32.9% | -1.5 | 81.1 | 10.8° | 0 |
| Fastball | 432 | 32.2% | -1.0 | 81.5 | 32.0° | 2 |
| Changeup | 165 | 12.3% | +1.0 | 80.9 | 12.4° | 2 |
| Cutter | 154 | 11.5% | +1.3 | 82.3 | 17.2° | 4 |
| Sinker | 141 | 10.5% | -2.2 | 85.3 | 6.5° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
63.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Austin Martin | #199 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Luke Keaschall | #189 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Víctor Caratini | #170 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Josh Bell | #127 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Trevor Larnach | #115 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Brooks Lee | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Royce Lewis | #93 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Kody Clemens | #40 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Byron Buxton | #7 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Eugenio Suárez | #130 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Noelvi Marte | #114 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-13 | Tyler Stephenson | #95 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Spencer Steer | #57 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Matt McLain | #55 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Nathaniel Lowe | #46 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Sal Stewart | #45 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | JJ Bleday | #14 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | José Tena | #185 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Dylan Crews | #168 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Daylen Lile | #142 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Keibert Ruiz | #118 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jacob Young | #86 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | CJ Abrams | #73 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Curtis Mead | #46 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | James Wood | #17 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Kyle Tucker | #224 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Alex Freeland | #192 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Will Smith | #110 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Freddie Freeman | #93 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Shohei Ohtani | #61 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Max Muncy | #60 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Andy Pages | #58 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Luis Arraez | #241 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Drew Gilbert | #234 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Matt Chapman | #233 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Daniel Susac | #212 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Bryce Eldridge | #204 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Will Brennan | #198 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Willy Adames | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Rafael Devers | #78 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Casey Schmitt | #36 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Kyle Karros | #259 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Troy Johnston | #246 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ezequiel Tovar | #245 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Willi Castro | #244 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Brenton Doyle | #226 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Edouard Julien | #218 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | TJ Rumfield | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Hunter Goodman | #68 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Mickey Moniak | #41 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Brett Sullivan | #231 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Kyle Karros | #227 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Willi Castro | #207 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Troy Johnston | #200 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Edouard Julien | #162 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | TJ Rumfield | #110 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jake McCarthy | #64 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Hunter Goodman | #30 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Mickey Moniak | #11 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Josh Smith | #99 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Evan Carter | #96 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Danny Jansen | #93 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Wyatt Langford | #92 | 20 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Josh Jung | #82 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Jake Burger | #81 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Joc Pederson | #75 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Brandon Nimmo | #74 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-11 | Corey Seager | #69 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Nick Gonzales | #270 | 1 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Spencer Horwitz | #266 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Marcell Ozuna | #264 | 8 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Nick Yorke | #261 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Bryan Reynolds | #251 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Konnor Griffin | #246 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Ryan O'Hearn | #245 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Oneil Cruz | #190 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Brandon Lowe | #176 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | David Hamilton | #174 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Sal Frelick | #161 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Luis Rengifo | #160 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | William Contreras | #145 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Greg Jones | #140 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Tyler Black | #125 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Garrett Mitchell | #124 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Jake Bauers | #58 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Brice Turang | #51 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Reese McGuire | #150 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Tristan Peters | #146 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Chase Meidroth | #138 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Sam Antonacci | #75 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Andrew Benintendi | #66 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-23 | Everson Pereira | #57 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Miguel Vargas | #51 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Colson Montgomery | #33 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-23 | Munetaka Murakami | #12 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Nathan Lukes | #258 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ernie Clement | #252 | 10 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Andrés Giménez | #225 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Kazuma Okamoto | #218 | 23 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jesús Sánchez | #206 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Daulton Varsho | #203 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | George Springer | #180 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #156 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Davis Schneider | #93 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Bryson Stott | #198 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Justin Crawford | #193 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Alec Bohm | #179 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | J.T. Realmuto | #171 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Trea Turner | #159 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Brandon Marsh | #141 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-10 | Adolis García | #95 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Bryce Harper | #46 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Nick Allen | #221 | 5 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Ozzie Albies | #165 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jurickson Profar | #128 | 34 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Austin Riley | #114 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Michael Harris II | #112 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Marcell Ozuna | #94 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Matt Olson | #87 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Drake Baldwin | #76 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | #44 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Gleyber Torres | #172 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Zach McKinstry | #163 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Javier Baez | #159 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Colt Keith | #155 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Wenceel Perez | #150 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Dillon Dingler | #148 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Spencer Torkelson | #108 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Kerry Carpenter | #95 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Riley Greene | #62 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |