Adrian Houser
RHP
SF
12
HRs Allowed
9.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
20.0%
Overall HR/FB
5.09
FIP
4.52
xFIP
+0.57
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.86
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
20.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
89th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
76.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.09
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
82th pctile
4.52
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.57
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
76th pctile
9.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
123
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
7
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
9.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 98.0mph | 105.1mph | 23.0° | 395ft | Down -3.6pp |
| Last 15 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 9.1% | 0.75 | 99.3mph | 101.9mph | 29.0° | 399ft | Flat -0.7pp |
| Last 30 | 51 | 6 | 5 | 9.8% | 0.83 | 98.9mph | 102.5mph | 27.6° | 404ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.7
Avg Max EV
112.5
Max EV Allowed
79
Hard-Hit Proxy · 76.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.0
Avg HR EV
28.2°
Avg HR Launch
404
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Austin Riley | 110.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | 105.1mph | 105.1mph | 23° | 395ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Mike Yastrzemski | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | James Wood | 112.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | CJ Abrams | 105.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jacob Young | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Drew Millas | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Daylen Lile | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | #94 | 50 | Truist Park | 105.1mph | 23.0° | 395ft |
| 2026-06-04 | Jackson Chourio | #39 | 55 | American Family Field | 105.5mph | 33.0° | 423ft |
| 2026-06-04 | David Hamilton | #119 | 33 | American Family Field | 95.1mph | 31.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Jake Mccarthy | #132 | 46 | Coors Field | 103.7mph | 25.0° | 427ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Kyle Karros | #151 | 43 | Coors Field | 102.9mph | 26.0° | 396ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Shohei Ohtani | #32 | 46 | Dodger Stadium | 105.9mph | 23.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Gavin Sheets | #178 | 24 | Oracle Park | 101.5mph | 28.0° | 395.0ft |
| 2026-05-06 | Xander Bogaerts | #237 | 15 | Oracle Park | 104.8mph | 31.0° | 424.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Connor Norby | #195 | 34 | Oracle Park | 104.3mph | 36.0° | 418.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Liam Hicks | #213 | 29 | Oracle Park | 101.8mph | 34.0° | 390.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | James Wood | #15 | 75 | Nationals Park | 109.0mph | 28.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Samuel Basallo | #130 | 37 | Camden Yards | 107.9mph | 21.0° | 396.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 537 | 45.4% | +1.0 | 86.6 | 12.3° | 8 |
| Changeup | 204 | 17.2% | +0.7 | 79.1 | 5.9° | 0 |
| Fastball | 181 | 15.3% | +0.0 | 85.8 | 32.5° | 1 |
| Slider | 150 | 12.7% | +2.9 | 85.0 | 19.0° | 3 |
| Curveball | 111 | 9.4% | +4.2 | 83.8 | 6.9° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
76.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Ha-Seong Kim | #234 | 11 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mike Yastrzemski | #177 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Dominic Smith | #144 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Ozzie Albies | #123 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Austin Riley | #106 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | #94 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Drake Baldwin | #29 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Olson | #12 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Ha-Seong Kim | #224 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Mike Yastrzemski | #167 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Dominic Smith | #154 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Ozzie Albies | #113 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Austin Riley | #107 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Mauricio Dubón | #87 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Drake Baldwin | #28 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Matt Olson | #5 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Nasim Nuñez | #231 | 11 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jorbit Vivas | #186 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-09 | José Tena | #179 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Daylen Lile | #159 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Jacob Young | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Drew Millas | #151 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | CJ Abrams | #62 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | James Wood | #16 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Luis Rengifo | #142 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-04 | David Hamilton | #119 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-04 | Sal Frelick | #118 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Christian Yelich | #76 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | William Contreras | #74 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Garrett Mitchell | #69 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Brice Turang | #60 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-04 | Jackson Chourio | #39 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-04 | Jake Bauers | #6 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Troy Johnston | #179 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Willi Castro | #171 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Edouard Julien | #169 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Kyle Karros | #151 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Jake Mccarthy | #132 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Ezequiel Tovar | #107 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Tj Rumfield | #81 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Mickey Moniak | #18 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Hunter Goodman | #14 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Sam Antonacci | #222 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Chase Meidroth | #204 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Andrew Benintendi | #187 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Tristan Peters | #126 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Drew Romo | #74 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Jarred Kelenic | #71 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Munetaka Murakami | #26 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Miguel Vargas | #24 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Colson Montgomery | #23 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jeff McNeil | #221 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Darell Hernaiz | #168 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Lawrence Butler | #111 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jonah Heim | #52 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Carlos Cortes | #37 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Tyler Soderstrom | #31 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Brent Rooker | #20 | 77 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Zack Gelof | #17 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Nick Kurtz | #16 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Alex Freeland | #172 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Hyeseong Kim | #124 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Kyle Tucker | #70 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Will Smith | #65 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Freddie Freeman | #64 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Max Muncy | #33 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Shohei Ohtani | #32 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Teoscar Hernández | #31 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Andy Pages | #11 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jake Cronenworth | #268 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #252 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Jackson Merrill | #247 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Xander Bogaerts | #237 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Nick Castellanos | #228 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Ramón Laureano | #227 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Manny Machado | #193 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-06 | Gavin Sheets | #178 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-06 | Miguel Andujar | #163 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jakob Marsee | #244 | 13 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Graham Pauley | #243 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Agustín Ramírez | #231 | 22 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Liam Hicks | #213 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kyle Stowers | #212 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Xavier Edwards | #209 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Connor Norby | #195 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Owen Caissie | #177 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Otto Lopez | #176 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jorbit Vivas | #251 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Nasim Nuñez | #250 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Daylen Lile | #199 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Brady House | #178 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jacob Young | #161 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Luis García Jr. | #149 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Joey Wiemer | #133 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | CJ Abrams | #54 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | James Wood | #15 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leody Taveras | #161 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Dylan Beavers | #135 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jeremiah Jackson | #133 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Coby Mayo | #132 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Samuel Basallo | #130 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gunnar Henderson | #120 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Colton Cowser | #119 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Taylor Ward | #113 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Pete Alonso | #111 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Bryson Stott | #192 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Alec Bohm | #182 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Trea Turner | #166 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | J.T. Realmuto | #164 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Nick Castellanos | #161 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Brandon Marsh | #147 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Max Kepler | #116 | 33 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Bryce Harper | #46 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Kyle Schwarber | #11 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Luis Arraez | #235 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jose Iglesias | #233 | 15 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Xander Bogaerts | #222 | 26 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jake Cronenworth | #216 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Elias Diaz | #209 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jackson Merrill | #196 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Gavin Sheets | #195 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Manny Machado | #185 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #167 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |