Jameson Taillon
RHP
CHC
16
HRs Allowed
13.9%
HR Rate (Pool)
25.1%
Overall HR/FB
6.15
FIP
4.62
xFIP
+1.53
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.23
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
25.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
95th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
93th pctile
4.62
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.53
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
96th pctile
13.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
115
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
13
Top-15 Matchups
4
HRs to Top-15
13.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 97.0mph | 110.0mph | 23.0° | 383ft | Down -8.0pp |
| Last 15 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 11.5% | 1.0 | 95.7mph | 105.1mph | 26.7° | 380ft | Down -2.4pp |
| Last 30 | 53 | 6 | 9 | 17.0% | 1.5 | 97.7mph | 105.4mph | 30.4° | 396ft | Up +3.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.0
Avg Max EV
112.4
Max EV Allowed
65
Hard-Hit Proxy · 69.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.7
Avg HR EV
29.6°
Avg HR Launch
400
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Matt Chapman | 102.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Casey Schmitt | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jung Hoo Lee | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Nick Kurtz | 110.0mph | 110.0mph | 23° | 383ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-02 | Tyler Soderstrom | 107.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Henry Bolte | 103.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Brent Rooker | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Brandon Lowe | 106.9mph | 106.9mph | 25° | 387ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Nick Kurtz | #17 | 69 | Wrigley Field | 110.0mph | 23.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Brandon Lowe | #13 | 73 | PNC Park | 106.9mph | 25.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-05-27 | Konnor Griffin | #175 | 36 | PNC Park | 98.3mph | 32.0° | 369.0ft |
| 2026-05-22 | Christian Vázquez | #159 | 35 | Wrigley Field | 98.6mph | 35.0° | 371.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Munetaka Murakami | #1 | 92 | Rate Field | 109.0mph | 36.0° | 428.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Colson Montgomery | #15 | 79 | Rate Field | 112.4mph | 33.0° | 442.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Miguel Vargas | #20 | 76 | Rate Field | 108.4mph | 24.0° | 421.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Andrew Benintendi | #102 | 47 | Rate Field | 106.4mph | 28.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Evan Carter | #149 | 24 | Globe Life Field | 98.6mph | 38.0° | 353.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Nathaniel Lowe | #1 | 83 | Wrigley Field | 108.1mph | 23.0° | 404.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Miguel Andujar | #145 | 30 | Petco Park | 99.2mph | 28.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Will Smith | #53 | 66 | Dodger Stadium | 103.9mph | 25.0° | 386.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Mark Vientos | #177 | 35 | Wrigley Field | 110.2mph | 26.0° | 434.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Oneil Cruz | #27 | 43 | Wrigley Field | 111.0mph | 41.0° | 422.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Junior Caminero | #24 | 53 | Tropicana Field | 106.8mph | 28.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Jonathan Aranda | #56 | 41 | Tropicana Field | 103.5mph | 29.0° | 403.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 342 | 28.3% | +1.7 | 84.7 | 32.4° | 8 |
| Cutter | 232 | 19.2% | +0.6 | 82.0 | 27.0° | 4 |
| Sweeper | 199 | 16.5% | -1.5 | 78.9 | 22.1° | 3 |
| Changeup | 184 | 15.2% | +2.9 | 80.5 | 16.7° | 5 |
| Curveball | 131 | 10.9% | -1.3 | 87.2 | 6.0° | 0 |
| Sinker | 119 | 9.9% | +3.9 | 84.0 | 20.5° | 2 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.9%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Daniel Susac | #167 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Drew Gilbert | #98 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jung Hoo Lee | #85 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Matt Chapman | #65 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Bryce Eldridge | #30 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Rafael Devers | #29 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Willy Adames | #11 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Casey Schmitt | #2 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Henry Bolte | #240 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Darell Hernaiz | #234 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Jeff McNeil | #140 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Carlos Cortes | #76 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Zack Gelof | #73 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Brent Rooker | #47 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Tyler Soderstrom | #34 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Nick Kurtz | #17 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Shea Langeliers | #12 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Nick Gonzales | #255 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Esmerlyn Valdez | #209 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Konnor Griffin | #175 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-27 | Bryan Reynolds | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Endy Rodríguez | #125 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Marcell Ozuna | #120 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Spencer Horwitz | #71 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Oneil Cruz | #35 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Brandon Lowe | #13 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Christian Vázquez | #159 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-22 | Brice Matthews | #122 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Jose Altuve | #121 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Isaac Paredes | #113 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Carlos Correa | #99 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Cam Smith | #98 | 42 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Yainer Diaz | #95 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Christian Walker | #31 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Yordan Alvarez | #7 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Tristan Peters | #224 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Chase Meidroth | #171 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Andrew Benintendi | #102 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Jarred Kelenic | #86 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Sam Antonacci | #71 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Miguel Vargas | #20 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Colson Montgomery | #15 | 79 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Drew Romo | #12 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Munetaka Murakami | #1 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Josh Smith | #231 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Evan Carter | #149 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Wyatt Langford | #132 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Danny Jansen | #123 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jake Burger | #103 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Joc Pederson | #97 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Brandon Nimmo | #86 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Corey Seager | #72 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Josh Jung | #69 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Tyler Stephenson | #102 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Matt McLain | #88 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Eugenio Suárez | #79 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | TJ Friedl | #69 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #52 | 45 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Spencer Steer | #31 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Sal Stewart | #23 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Elly De La Cruz | #2 | 82 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Nathaniel Lowe | #1 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Jake Cronenworth | #238 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jackson Merrill | #205 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #204 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Freddy Fermin | #197 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Ramón Laureano | #173 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Xander Bogaerts | #170 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Manny Machado | #154 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Miguel Andujar | #145 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gavin Sheets | #132 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Alex Freeland | #101 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Hyeseong Kim | #96 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Andy Pages | #67 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Kyle Tucker | #62 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Will Smith | #53 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Teoscar Hernández | #30 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Freddie Freeman | #21 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Max Muncy | #15 | 79 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Shohei Ohtani | #5 | 86 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Bo Bichette | #185 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Mark Vientos | #177 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | Marcus Semien | #164 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jorge Polanco | #138 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Brett Baty | #137 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Luis Robert Jr. | #122 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Carson Benge | #120 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Francisco Lindor | #110 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Francisco Alvarez | #30 | 70 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Nick Gonzales | #102 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Jared Triolo | #99 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Henry Davis | #95 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Joey Bart | #85 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Spencer Horwitz | #75 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Andrew McCutchen | #60 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Bryan Reynolds | #40 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Oneil Cruz | #27 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Chandler Simpson | #211 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jake Mangum | #189 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Taylor Walls | #179 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Josh Lowe | #112 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jonathan Aranda | #56 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Christopher Morel | #48 | 42 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Yandy Diaz | #47 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Junior Caminero | #24 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Brandon Lowe | #4 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Nolan Schanuel | #138 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Luis Rengifo | #124 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jorge Soler | #53 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Yoan Moncada | #48 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Logan O'Hoppe | #47 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Zach Neto | #43 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Taylor Ward | #39 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Mike Trout | #24 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jo Adell | #22 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |