Michael Wacha
RHP
KC
14
HRs Allowed
10.6%
HR Rate (Pool)
11.8%
Overall HR/FB
3.86
FIP
4.24
xFIP
-0.37
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.93
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
43th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
70.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.86
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
44th pctile
4.24
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.37
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
10.6%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
132
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
10.6%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
4
Platoon Edge Bats
3
Same-Side Bats
0
Switch Hitters
4L / 3R
Listed Hands
4 of 7 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Colson Montgomery
Andrew Benintendi
Sam Antonacci
Tristan Peters
Today Context
0.89
Park Factor
—
Wind MPH
13.4%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Rate Field
Weather 0.0
BP FIP 4.54
Today's Threat Breakdown · 7 batters
KC @ CWS · 4:10p
| # | Batter | Platoon | Tier | Score | Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. | ISO | Context | BvP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 |
LvR
Edge
|
🔵 C+ | 61 | 26.5%vs RHP | 14.0%vs LHH | 0.257 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 57 |
RvR
Same
|
🟠 C | 54 | 15.0%vs RHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.223 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 84 |
LvR
Edge
|
⚪ D | 49 | 18.4%vs RHP | 14.0%vs LHH | 0.185 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 143 |
LvR
Edge
|
⚪ D | 38 | 12.5%vs RHP | 14.0%vs LHH | 0.128 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 160 |
LvR
Edge
|
⚪ D | 36 | 7.9%vs RHP | 14.0%vs LHH | 0.157 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 187 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 30 | 12.5%vs RHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.117 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look | |
| 220 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 18 | 8.3%vs RHP | 11.4%vs RHH | 0.035 |
Park 0.89
BP 13.4%
|
first look |
Rate Field
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 94.8mph | 104.6mph | 25.0° | 424ft | Down -4.7pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 8.0% | 0.67 | 95.6mph | 102.3mph | 30.0° | 408ft | Down -2.6pp |
| Last 30 | 51 | 6 | 4 | 7.8% | 0.67 | 97.3mph | 103.1mph | 29.8° | 400ft | Down -2.8pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.4
Avg Max EV
115.8
Max EV Allowed
83
Hard-Hit Proxy · 70.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.2
Avg HR EV
29.6°
Avg HR Launch
397
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Junior Caminero | 115.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Yandy Díaz | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ryan Vilade | 100.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Curtis Mead | 104.6mph | 104.6mph | 25° | 424ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | Drew Millas | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | James Wood | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Brandon Nimmo | 110.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Jake Burger | 109.5mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Curtis Mead | #69 | 54 | Nationals Park | 104.6mph | 25.0° | 424ft |
| 2026-06-11 | Corey Seager | #39 | 53 | Kauffman Stadium | 100.0mph | 35.0° | 391ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Brooks Lee | #126 | 43 | Target Field | 104.7mph | 24.0° | 380ft |
| 2026-05-25 | Cody Bellinger | #131 | 40 | Kauffman Stadium | 103.1mph | 35.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Jarren Duran | #154 | 39 | Kauffman Stadium | 101.2mph | 30.0° | 366.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Jordan Walker | #16 | 78 | Busch Stadium | 104.5mph | 30.0° | 409.0ft |
| 2026-05-15 | Pedro Pagés | #204 | 30 | Busch Stadium | 108.9mph | 22.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-29 | Lawrence Butler | #134 | 32 | Sutter Health Park | 105.6mph | 33.0° | 404.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Pete Alonso | #142 | 35 | Kauffman Stadium | 106.9mph | 26.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-04-22 | Coby Mayo | #235 | 17 | Kauffman Stadium | 110.0mph | 33.0° | 452.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Ben Rice | #8 | 80 | Yankee Stadium | 103.3mph | 21.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Ryan McMahon | #141 | 39 | Yankee Stadium | 103.3mph | 37.0° | 372.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Steven Kwan | #197 | 23 | Progressive Field | 100.8mph | 29.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-04-06 | Brayan Rocchio | #198 | 25 | Progressive Field | 101.7mph | 34.0° | 377.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 431 | 27.8% | -1.2 | 83.4 | 30.1° | 3 |
| Changeup | 344 | 22.2% | -0.6 | 79.4 | 20.6° | 4 |
| Cutter | 240 | 15.5% | +0.2 | 84.1 | 15.9° | 2 |
| Sinker | 233 | 15.0% | -1.7 | 81.9 | 19.2° | 1 |
| Curveball | 153 | 9.9% | +1.0 | 81.0 | 1.7° | 0 |
| Slider | 151 | 9.7% | +1.2 | 84.9 | 12.3° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
70.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Chandler Simpson | #211 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Nick Fortes | #206 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ben Williamson | #201 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Richie Palacios | #199 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ryan Vilade | #113 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Jonny DeLuca | #105 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Yandy Díaz | #96 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Jonathan Aranda | #82 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Junior Caminero | #61 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Nasim Nuñez | #226 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Drew Millas | #200 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jacob Young | #140 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Daylen Lile | #138 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Dylan Crews | #91 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | CJ Abrams | #83 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Curtis Mead | #69 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-16 | James Wood | #19 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Nicky Lopez | #124 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Evan Carter | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Ezequiel Duran | #99 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Jake Burger | #81 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Josh Jung | #74 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Brandon Nimmo | #68 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Wyatt Langford | #67 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-11 | Corey Seager | #39 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Orlando Arcia | #230 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Luke Keaschall | #223 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Josh Bell | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Austin Martin | #182 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Brooks Lee | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Ryan Kreidler | #112 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Kody Clemens | #49 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Byron Buxton | #6 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Alejandro Osuna | #265 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Michael Helman | #213 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Nicky Lopez | #195 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Ezequiel Duran | #168 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Kyle Higashioka | #145 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Josh Jung | #141 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Brandon Nimmo | #76 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Jake Burger | #68 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-31 | Joc Pederson | #60 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Anthony Volpe | #220 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | José Caballero | #187 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | J.C. Escarra | #186 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #153 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Cody Bellinger | #131 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-25 | Trent Grisham | #121 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Paul Goldschmidt | #51 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Aaron Judge | #17 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-25 | Ben Rice | #14 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Caleb Durbin | #260 | 10 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Marcelo Mayer | #230 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Carlos Narváez | #219 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Roman Anthony | #218 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Trevor Story | #191 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #177 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Jarren Duran | #154 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Wilyer Abreu | #110 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Willson Contreras | #66 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Victor Scott II | #251 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Masyn Winn | #220 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Pedro Pagés | #204 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-15 | Iván Herrera | #200 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Nathan Church | #152 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | JJ Wetherholt | #151 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Nolan Gorman | #109 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Alec Burleson | #91 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Jordan Walker | #16 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-09 | Colt Keith | #168 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Javier Báez | #110 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Gleyber Torres | #97 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Matt Vierling | #79 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Kevin McGonigle | #73 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Dillon Dingler | #69 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Riley Greene | #56 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Kerry Carpenter | #48 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Spencer Torkelson | #44 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Bo Naylor | #118 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Kyle Manzardo | #117 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Steven Kwan | #109 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Brayan Rocchio | #104 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Chase DeLauter | #51 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Rhys Hoskins | #43 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Angel Martínez | #36 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | José Ramírez | #35 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Daniel Schneemann | #15 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Denzel Clarke | #162 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Lawrence Butler | #134 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-29 | Max Muncy | #110 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jeff McNeil | #95 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jacob Wilson | #94 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Tyler Soderstrom | #63 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Nick Kurtz | #41 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Shea Langeliers | #38 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Carlos Cortes | #13 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Blaze Alexander | #250 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Dylan Beavers | #241 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Coby Mayo | #235 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taylor Ward | #201 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Pete Alonso | #142 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Leody Taveras | #127 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Samuel Basallo | #109 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jeremiah Jackson | #90 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Gunnar Henderson | #80 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #155 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | José Caballero | #150 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ryan McMahon | #141 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Cody Bellinger | #125 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Austin Wells | #120 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Trent Grisham | #68 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Giancarlo Stanton | #58 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Aaron Judge | #11 | 77 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Ben Rice | #8 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Brayan Rocchio | #198 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Steven Kwan | #197 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-06 | Angel Martinez | #190 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Daniel Schneemann | #152 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Nolan Jones | #148 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Bo Naylor | #136 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Gabriel Arias | #94 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Jose Ramirez | #93 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-06 | Kyle Manzardo | #85 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nick Allen | #250 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ozzie Albies | #220 | 30 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jurickson Profar | #186 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Austin Riley | #175 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Michael Harris II | #174 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Marcell Ozuna | #152 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Matt Olson | #143 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Drake Baldwin | #120 | 43 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | #86 | 49 | ⚪ D | · — | · |