Sandy Alcantara
RHP
MIA
14
HRs Allowed
10.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
10.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.95
FIP
4.28
xFIP
-0.34
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.88
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
33th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.95
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
47th pctile
4.28
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.34
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
30th pctile
10.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
140
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
10.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 11.8% | 1.0 | 96.4mph | 106.3mph | 22.0° | 398ft | Flat +1.8pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 16.0% | 1.33 | 97.0mph | 105.3mph | 25.5° | 395ft | Up +6.0pp |
| Last 30 | 51 | 6 | 8 | 15.7% | 1.33 | 96.0mph | 104.2mph | 25.4° | 394ft | Up +5.7pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
96.9
Avg Max EV
111.3
Max EV Allowed
87
Hard-Hit Proxy · 69.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.2
Avg HR EV
26.6°
Avg HR Launch
392
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Brandon Nimmo | 110.5mph | 105.9mph | 22° | 412ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Joc Pederson | 106.7mph | 106.7mph | 22° | 384ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Kyle Higashioka | 103.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Ezequiel Duran | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Josh Jung | 101.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryson Stott | 105.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Endy Rodríguez | 106.9mph | 106.9mph | 21° | 393ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Brandon Lowe | 101.6mph | 101.6mph | 37° | 391ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Joc Pederson | #99 | 48 | loanDepot Park | 106.7mph | 22.0° | 384ft |
| 2026-06-23 | Brandon Nimmo | #147 | 40 | loanDepot Park | 105.9mph | 22.0° | 412ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Brandon Lowe | #73 | 52 | PNC Park | 101.6mph | 37.0° | 391ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Endy Rodríguez | #161 | 38 | PNC Park | 106.9mph | 21.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Jacob Young | #57 | 48 | Nationals Park | 99.5mph | 30.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Jesús Sánchez | #135 | 41 | Rogers Centre | 108.7mph | 24.0° | 394.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Ernie Clement | #174 | 37 | Rogers Centre | 98.1mph | 28.0° | 373.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Yohendrick Piñango | #216 | 28 | Rogers Centre | 106.2mph | 19.0° | 408.0ft |
| 2026-05-21 | Michael Harris II | #19 | 55 | loanDepot Park | 103.4mph | 24.0° | 404.0ft |
| 2026-05-21 | Mike Yastrzemski | #65 | 34 | loanDepot Park | 102.4mph | 23.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Jung Hoo Lee | #249 | 9 | Oracle Park | 98.4mph | 33.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Brice Turang | #102 | 50 | loanDepot Park | 106.2mph | 26.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Kerry Carpenter | #108 | 41 | Comerica Park | 101.0mph | 27.0° | 363.0ft |
| 2026-04-12 | Dillon Dingler | #146 | 33 | Comerica Park | 99.4mph | 36.0° | 404.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 421 | 24.3% | -1.5 | 84.0 | 12.3° | 2 |
| Changeup | 386 | 22.3% | +1.1 | 83.3 | 0.4° | 4 |
| Fastball | 331 | 19.1% | +0.7 | 86.2 | 27.1° | 2 |
| Cutter | 234 | 13.5% | -2.3 | 80.6 | 21.2° | 1 |
| Slider | 153 | 8.8% | -0.4 | 82.3 | 20.4° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 140 | 8.1% | -0.0 | 77.6 | 30.4° | 1 |
| Curveball | 67 | 3.9% | -0.3 | 80.8 | 12.3° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Alejandro Osuna | #234 | 10 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Nicky Lopez | #230 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Josh Jung | #172 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Brandon Nimmo | #147 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ezequiel Duran | #145 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Jarred Kelenic | #137 | 41 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Kyle Higashioka | #130 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Joc Pederson | #99 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Wyatt Langford | #85 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Garrett Stubbs | #231 | 15 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Justin Crawford | #213 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Trea Turner | #187 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryson Stott | #129 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Alec Bohm | #83 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Brandon Marsh | #43 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryce Harper | #31 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Kyle Schwarber | #4 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jared Triolo | #235 | 11 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jake Mangum | #220 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Nick Gonzales | #202 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Endy Rodríguez | #161 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Bryan Reynolds | #128 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Ryan O'Hearn | #112 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Brandon Lowe | #73 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Spencer Horwitz | #66 | 55 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Taylor Walls | #231 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Richie Palacios | #225 | 20 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Hunter Feduccia | #204 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Ryan Vilade | #149 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Cedric Mullins | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Yandy Díaz | #53 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Junior Caminero | #51 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Jonathan Aranda | #31 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Nasim Nuñez | #157 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Daylen Lile | #76 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Luis García Jr. | #68 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Jacob Young | #57 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | José Tena | #56 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Keibert Ruiz | #25 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | CJ Abrams | #20 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Curtis Mead | #9 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | James Wood | #5 | 75 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Lenyn Sosa | #229 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Yohendrick Piñango | #216 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Andrés Giménez | #214 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Brandon Valenzuela | #201 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Ernie Clement | #174 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Daulton Varsho | #138 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Jesús Sánchez | #135 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Kazuma Okamoto | #113 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | George Springer | #93 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Mike Yastrzemski | #65 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-21 | Mauricio Dubón | #59 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Ozzie Albies | #58 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #38 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Dominic Smith | #37 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Austin Riley | #32 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Michael Harris II | #19 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-21 | Matt Olson | #6 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-21 | Drake Baldwin | #4 | 72 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Hunter Feduccia | #251 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Taylor Walls | #247 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Cedric Mullins | #246 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Richie Palacios | #240 | 19 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Chandler Simpson | #239 | 19 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jonny DeLuca | #205 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Yandy Díaz | #129 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jonathan Aranda | #78 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Junior Caminero | #70 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jorbit Vivas | #223 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nasim Nuñez | #200 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jacob Young | #152 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Daylen Lile | #151 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Drew Millas | #116 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Brady House | #115 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Luis García Jr. | #108 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | CJ Abrams | #73 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | James Wood | #52 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Taylor Ward | #251 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Leody Taveras | #206 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Blaze Alexander | #178 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Dylan Beavers | #152 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jeremiah Jackson | #151 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Coby Mayo | #72 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Gunnar Henderson | #61 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Pete Alonso | #59 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Samuel Basallo | #48 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Hyeseong Kim | #76 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Will Smith | #67 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Andy Pages | #50 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Alex Freeland | #45 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Max Muncy | #44 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Teoscar Hernández | #34 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Freddie Freeman | #28 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Kyle Tucker | #19 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Shohei Ohtani | #9 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Eric Haase | #252 | -2 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Luis Arraez | #251 | 6 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jung Hoo Lee | #249 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Drew Gilbert | #246 | 12 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Matt Chapman | #245 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Rafael Devers | #235 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Willy Adames | #210 | 30 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Casey Schmitt | #198 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Heliot Ramos | #171 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | David Hamilton | #261 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Joey Ortiz | #258 | 13 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Sal Frelick | #255 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Luis Rengifo | #206 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Christian Yelich | #201 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | William Contreras | #188 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Brice Turang | #102 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-18 | Garrett Mitchell | #88 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jake Bauers | #77 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Gleyber Torres | #158 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Javier Báez | #152 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Dillon Dingler | #146 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-12 | Colt Keith | #145 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Zach McKinstry | #144 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Spencer Torkelson | #125 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Riley Greene | #115 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-12 | Kerry Carpenter | #108 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-07 | Santiago Espinal | #242 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | TJ Friedl | #175 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Gavin Lux | #174 | 30 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Matt McLain | #163 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Spencer Steer | #102 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Austin Hays | #78 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Noelvi Marte | #44 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Elly De La Cruz | #23 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Tyler Stephenson | #11 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Tyler Freeman | #105 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Ryan Ritter | #102 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Ezequiel Tovar | #46 | 42 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Kyle Farmer | #38 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Brenton Doyle | #35 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Jordan Beck | #25 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Michael Toglia | #11 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Mickey Moniak | #5 | 57 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Hunter Goodman | #4 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |