2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes RHP ATL
127 matchups scored · 15 game days
19 HRs Allowed
15.0% HR Rate (Pool)
18.7% Overall HR/FB
4.91 FIP
4.42 xFIP
+0.49 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.27
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.91
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
77th pctile
4.42
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.49
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
73th pctile
15.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
127
Pool Matchups
19
HRs Allowed (Pool)
15
Top-15 Matchups
5
HRs to Top-15
15.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 22 3 3 13.6% 1.0 98.7mph 102.5mph 28.7° 408ft Flat -1.4pp
Last 15 29 4 4 13.8% 1.0 97.1mph 104.2mph 26.5° 400ft Flat -1.2pp
Last 30 47 6 8 17.0% 1.33 97.5mph 103.4mph 28.8° 395ft Up +2.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
108 tracked BBE from 127 pool matchups
97.6
114.9
79
0
103.2
28.6°
392
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Ty France 107.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Manny Machado 104.6mph 104.6mph 21° 418ft Yes
2026-06-17 Casey Schmitt 106.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Bryce Eldridge 105.3mph 100.9mph 33° 406ft Yes
2026-06-17 Matt Chapman 102.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Willy Adames 102.1mph 102.1mph 32° 400ft Yes
2026-06-17 Drew Gilbert 101.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-17 Jung Hoo Lee 100.2mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
15 days · 19 total HRs
HRs Allowed
19 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-22 Manny Machado #75 53 Petco Park 104.6mph 21.0° 418ft
2026-06-17 Bryce Eldridge #34 62 Truist Park 100.9mph 33.0° 406ft
2026-06-17 Willy Adames #92 50 Truist Park 102.1mph 32.0° 400ft
2026-06-09 Miguel Vargas #8 68 Rate Field 109.0mph 20.0° 377ft
2026-06-03 Brandon Valenzuela #184 34 Truist Park 104.4mph 35.0° 399ft
2026-06-03 Nathan Lukes #201 33 Truist Park 96.9mph 36.0° 374ft
2026-05-29 Nathaniel Lowe #4 80 Great American Ball Park 100.6mph 30.0° 390ft
2026-05-29 JJ Bleday #15 70 Great American Ball Park 108.6mph 23.0° 393ft
2026-05-23 Jorbit Vivas #181 40 Truist Park 95.1mph 33.0° 364.0ft
2026-05-23 Dylan Crews #209 36 Truist Park 102.6mph 25.0° 396.0ft
2026-05-12 Alex Bregman #189 25 Truist Park 100.4mph 35.0° 374.0ft
2026-05-01 Mickey Moniak #11 49 Coors Field 105.5mph 29.0° 439.0ft
2026-04-24 Bryce Harper #17 78 Truist Park 104.3mph 26.0° 389.0ft
2026-04-24 Trea Turner #72 60 Truist Park 102.5mph 25.0° 375.0ft
2026-04-19 Kyle Schwarber #7 85 Citizens Bank Park 107.1mph 25.0° 381.0ft
2026-04-13 Agustin Ramirez #34 41 Truist Park 105.2mph 26.0° 418.0ft
2026-04-13 Connor Norby #46 39 Truist Park 104.9mph 29.0° 380.0ft
2026-04-08 Jorge Soler #17 49 Angel Stadium 105.9mph 30.0° 402.0ft
2026-03-29 Carter Jensen #26 58 Truist Park 99.6mph 30.0° 371.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Slider 491 38.6% +0.4 82.5 2.8° 5
Fastball 404 31.8% +0.4 86.2 28.0° 7
Sinker 125 9.8% -2.1 89.4 9.3° 0
Curveball 93 7.3% +0.6 83.0 5.9° 0
Cutter 85 6.7% +0.6 85.4 17.8° 2
Changeup 73 5.7% -1.2 77.0 -15.9° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.1%
73.1%
All Scored Matchups
127 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Xander Bogaerts #166 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Miguel Andújar #160 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Jackson Merrill #106 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Manny Machado #75 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-22 Gavin Sheets #47 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Ty France #40 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Daniel Susac #218 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-17 Jung Hoo Lee #201 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Drew Gilbert #198 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Willy Adames #92 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 Rafael Devers #82 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 Matt Chapman #46 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-17 Casey Schmitt #41 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 Bryce Eldridge #34 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-16 Daniel Susac #212 23 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Jung Hoo Lee #195 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Drew Gilbert #194 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Rafael Devers #81 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Willy Adames #61 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Casey Schmitt #57 57 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-16 Matt Chapman #51 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-16 Bryce Eldridge #22 67 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Sam Antonacci #199 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Luisangel Acuña #198 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Chase Meidroth #162 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Tristan Peters #161 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Drew Romo #46 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 Andrew Benintendi #31 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Miguel Vargas #8 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-03 Nathan Lukes #201 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-03 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #189 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Brandon Valenzuela #184 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-03 Daulton Varsho #177 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Andrés Giménez #147 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Ernie Clement #101 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Yohendrick Piñango #53 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Jesús Sánchez #43 59 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-03 Kazuma Okamoto #31 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 TJ Friedl #175 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Blake Dunn #154 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Eugenio Suárez #109 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Tyler Stephenson #102 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Spencer Steer #58 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 Sal Stewart #34 63 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 JJ Bleday #15 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-29 Elly De La Cruz #11 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 Nathaniel Lowe #4 80 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-23 Nasim Nuñez #276 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Dylan Crews #209 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-23 Jorbit Vivas #181 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-05-23 Luis García Jr. #144 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 CJ Abrams #50 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 José Tena #38 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Keibert Ruiz #32 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Daylen Lile #31 66 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-23 James Wood #4 80 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Marcelo Mayer #180 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Nick Sogard #160 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Andruw Monasterio #138 44 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Carlos Narváez #125 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Jarren Duran #108 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Mickey Gasper #100 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Ceddanne Rafaela #88 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Wilyer Abreu #55 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Willson Contreras #22 75 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Alex Bregman #189 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-12 Carson Kelly #146 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Michael Busch #145 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Nico Hoerner #128 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Pete Crow-Armstrong #86 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Matt Shaw #80 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Dansby Swanson #51 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Moisés Ballesteros #20 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Ian Happ #13 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Ezequiel Tovar #152 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-01 Troy Johnston #83 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-01 Brenton Doyle #75 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Kyle Karros #74 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 TJ Rumfield #68 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Willi Castro #60 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 Edouard Julien #51 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-01 Mickey Moniak #11 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-01 Hunter Goodman #4 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Bryson Stott #154 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Justin Crawford #115 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Alec Bohm #114 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-24 Brandon Marsh #74 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Adolis García #73 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Trea Turner #72 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-24 Garrett Stubbs #37 70 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-24 Bryce Harper #17 78 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-24 Kyle Schwarber #3 90 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 J.T. Realmuto #148 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Alec Bohm #135 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Bryson Stott #127 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Trea Turner #117 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Justin Crawford #112 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Brandon Marsh #75 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Adolis García #44 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Bryce Harper #14 78 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Kyle Schwarber #7 85 🟢 A 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-13 Xavier Edwards #71 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Dane Myers #57 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 Javier Sanoja #55 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-13 Liam Hicks #54 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-13 Otto Lopez #48 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-13 Connor Norby #46 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-13 Agustin Ramirez #34 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-13 Kyle Stowers #14 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Luis Rengifo #157 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Nolan Schanuel #136 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Logan O'Hoppe #74 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Yoan Moncada #27 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Taylor Ward #26 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Jorge Soler #17 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-08 Jo Adell #15 59 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Zach Neto #5 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Mike Trout #4 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Kyle Isbel #161 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Nick Loftin #139 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Maikel Garcia #112 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Lane Thomas #105 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Bobby Witt Jr. #95 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-29 Jac Caglianone #67 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Salvador Perez #63 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Vinnie Pasquantino #59 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Carter Jensen #26 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
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