Grant Holmes
RHP
ATL
19
HRs Allowed
15.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
18.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.91
FIP
4.42
xFIP
+0.49
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.27
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.91
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
77th pctile
4.42
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.49
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
73th pctile
15.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
127
Pool Matchups
19
HRs Allowed (Pool)
15
Top-15 Matchups
5
HRs to Top-15
15.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 13.6% | 1.0 | 98.7mph | 102.5mph | 28.7° | 408ft | Flat -1.4pp |
| Last 15 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 13.8% | 1.0 | 97.1mph | 104.2mph | 26.5° | 400ft | Flat -1.2pp |
| Last 30 | 47 | 6 | 8 | 17.0% | 1.33 | 97.5mph | 103.4mph | 28.8° | 395ft | Up +2.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.6
Avg Max EV
114.9
Max EV Allowed
79
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.2
Avg HR EV
28.6°
Avg HR Launch
392
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Ty France | 107.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Manny Machado | 104.6mph | 104.6mph | 21° | 418ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Casey Schmitt | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryce Eldridge | 105.3mph | 100.9mph | 33° | 406ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Chapman | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Willy Adames | 102.1mph | 102.1mph | 32° | 400ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Drew Gilbert | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jung Hoo Lee | 100.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Manny Machado | #75 | 53 | Petco Park | 104.6mph | 21.0° | 418ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryce Eldridge | #34 | 62 | Truist Park | 100.9mph | 33.0° | 406ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Willy Adames | #92 | 50 | Truist Park | 102.1mph | 32.0° | 400ft |
| 2026-06-09 | Miguel Vargas | #8 | 68 | Rate Field | 109.0mph | 20.0° | 377ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Brandon Valenzuela | #184 | 34 | Truist Park | 104.4mph | 35.0° | 399ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Nathan Lukes | #201 | 33 | Truist Park | 96.9mph | 36.0° | 374ft |
| 2026-05-29 | Nathaniel Lowe | #4 | 80 | Great American Ball Park | 100.6mph | 30.0° | 390ft |
| 2026-05-29 | JJ Bleday | #15 | 70 | Great American Ball Park | 108.6mph | 23.0° | 393ft |
| 2026-05-23 | Jorbit Vivas | #181 | 40 | Truist Park | 95.1mph | 33.0° | 364.0ft |
| 2026-05-23 | Dylan Crews | #209 | 36 | Truist Park | 102.6mph | 25.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-05-12 | Alex Bregman | #189 | 25 | Truist Park | 100.4mph | 35.0° | 374.0ft |
| 2026-05-01 | Mickey Moniak | #11 | 49 | Coors Field | 105.5mph | 29.0° | 439.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Bryce Harper | #17 | 78 | Truist Park | 104.3mph | 26.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Trea Turner | #72 | 60 | Truist Park | 102.5mph | 25.0° | 375.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Kyle Schwarber | #7 | 85 | Citizens Bank Park | 107.1mph | 25.0° | 381.0ft |
| 2026-04-13 | Agustin Ramirez | #34 | 41 | Truist Park | 105.2mph | 26.0° | 418.0ft |
| 2026-04-13 | Connor Norby | #46 | 39 | Truist Park | 104.9mph | 29.0° | 380.0ft |
| 2026-04-08 | Jorge Soler | #17 | 49 | Angel Stadium | 105.9mph | 30.0° | 402.0ft |
| 2026-03-29 | Carter Jensen | #26 | 58 | Truist Park | 99.6mph | 30.0° | 371.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 491 | 38.6% | +0.4 | 82.5 | 2.8° | 5 |
| Fastball | 404 | 31.8% | +0.4 | 86.2 | 28.0° | 7 |
| Sinker | 125 | 9.8% | -2.1 | 89.4 | 9.3° | 0 |
| Curveball | 93 | 7.3% | +0.6 | 83.0 | 5.9° | 0 |
| Cutter | 85 | 6.7% | +0.6 | 85.4 | 17.8° | 2 |
| Changeup | 73 | 5.7% | -1.2 | 77.0 | -15.9° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Xander Bogaerts | #166 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Miguel Andújar | #160 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Jackson Merrill | #106 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Manny Machado | #75 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-22 | Gavin Sheets | #47 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ty France | #40 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Daniel Susac | #218 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jung Hoo Lee | #201 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Drew Gilbert | #198 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Willy Adames | #92 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Rafael Devers | #82 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Chapman | #46 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Casey Schmitt | #41 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Bryce Eldridge | #34 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-16 | Daniel Susac | #212 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jung Hoo Lee | #195 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Drew Gilbert | #194 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Rafael Devers | #81 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Willy Adames | #61 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Casey Schmitt | #57 | 57 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Matt Chapman | #51 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Bryce Eldridge | #22 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Sam Antonacci | #199 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Luisangel Acuña | #198 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Chase Meidroth | #162 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Tristan Peters | #161 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Drew Romo | #46 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Andrew Benintendi | #31 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-09 | Miguel Vargas | #8 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nathan Lukes | #201 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #189 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Brandon Valenzuela | #184 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Daulton Varsho | #177 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Andrés Giménez | #147 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ernie Clement | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Yohendrick Piñango | #53 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jesús Sánchez | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Kazuma Okamoto | #31 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | TJ Friedl | #175 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Blake Dunn | #154 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Eugenio Suárez | #109 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Tyler Stephenson | #102 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Spencer Steer | #58 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Sal Stewart | #34 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | JJ Bleday | #15 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-29 | Elly De La Cruz | #11 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-29 | Nathaniel Lowe | #4 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | Nasim Nuñez | #276 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Dylan Crews | #209 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | Jorbit Vivas | #181 | 40 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | Luis García Jr. | #144 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | CJ Abrams | #50 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | José Tena | #38 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Keibert Ruiz | #32 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Daylen Lile | #31 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-23 | James Wood | #4 | 80 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Marcelo Mayer | #180 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Nick Sogard | #160 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Andruw Monasterio | #138 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Carlos Narváez | #125 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Jarren Duran | #108 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Mickey Gasper | #100 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #88 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Wilyer Abreu | #55 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Willson Contreras | #22 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Alex Bregman | #189 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-12 | Carson Kelly | #146 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Michael Busch | #145 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Nico Hoerner | #128 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #86 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Matt Shaw | #80 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Dansby Swanson | #51 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Moisés Ballesteros | #20 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-12 | Ian Happ | #13 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Ezequiel Tovar | #152 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Troy Johnston | #83 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Brenton Doyle | #75 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Kyle Karros | #74 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | TJ Rumfield | #68 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Willi Castro | #60 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Edouard Julien | #51 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-01 | Mickey Moniak | #11 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hunter Goodman | #4 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Bryson Stott | #154 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Justin Crawford | #115 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Alec Bohm | #114 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Brandon Marsh | #74 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Adolis García | #73 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Trea Turner | #72 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Garrett Stubbs | #37 | 70 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Bryce Harper | #17 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kyle Schwarber | #3 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | J.T. Realmuto | #148 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Alec Bohm | #135 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Bryson Stott | #127 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Trea Turner | #117 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Justin Crawford | #112 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Brandon Marsh | #75 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Adolis García | #44 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Bryce Harper | #14 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Kyle Schwarber | #7 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Xavier Edwards | #71 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Dane Myers | #57 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Javier Sanoja | #55 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Liam Hicks | #54 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Otto Lopez | #48 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Connor Norby | #46 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Agustin Ramirez | #34 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Kyle Stowers | #14 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Luis Rengifo | #157 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Nolan Schanuel | #136 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Logan O'Hoppe | #74 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Yoan Moncada | #27 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Taylor Ward | #26 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jorge Soler | #17 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-08 | Jo Adell | #15 | 59 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Zach Neto | #5 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Mike Trout | #4 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Kyle Isbel | #161 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Nick Loftin | #139 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Maikel Garcia | #112 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Lane Thomas | #105 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #95 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Jac Caglianone | #67 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Salvador Perez | #63 | 50 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #59 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-29 | Carter Jensen | #26 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |