Framber Valdez
LHP
DET
15
HRs Allowed
11.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
9.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.91
FIP
4.27
xFIP
-0.36
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
9.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
23th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
83.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.91
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
46th pctile
4.27
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.36
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
11.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
127
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
11.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 7.7% | 0.5 | 99.1mph | 103.2mph | 24.0° | 373ft | Down -4.1pp |
| Last 15 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 14.3% | 1.0 | 99.2mph | 105.9mph | 26.0° | 410ft | Up +2.5pp |
| Last 30 | 46 | 6 | 8 | 17.4% | 1.33 | 99.4mph | 102.2mph | 31.6° | 382ft | Up +5.6pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.9
Avg Max EV
112.7
Max EV Allowed
87
Hard-Hit Proxy · 83.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.0
Avg HR EV
30.5°
Avg HR Launch
392
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Anthony Volpe | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Amed Rosario | 103.2mph | 103.2mph | 24° | 373ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | José Caballero | 103.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Paul Goldschmidt | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Cody Bellinger | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Isaac Paredes | 105.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jeremy Peña | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Cam Smith | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Amed Rosario | #107 | 46 | Comerica Park | 103.2mph | 24.0° | 373ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Byron Buxton | #14 | 72 | Comerica Park | 107.0mph | 22.0° | 413ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Royce Lewis | #196 | 27 | Comerica Park | 107.6mph | 32.0° | 444ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Colt Emerson | #101 | 46 | Comerica Park | 94.1mph | 35.0° | 351ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Colson Montgomery | #84 | 54 | Rate Field | 106.8mph | 41.0° | 372ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Andrew Benintendi | #209 | 34 | Rate Field | 100.6mph | 30.0° | 368ft |
| 2026-05-30 | Edgar Quero | #229 | 29 | Rate Field | 97.7mph | 31.0° | 371ft |
| 2026-05-24 | Gunnar Henderson | #58 | 57 | Camden Yards | 100.8mph | 38.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-05-18 | José Ramírez | #180 | 36 | Comerica Park | 102.8mph | 25.0° | 410.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Willson Contreras | #76 | 38 | Comerica Park | 111.9mph | 32.0° | 449.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Wilyer Abreu | #255 | 7 | Comerica Park | 109.1mph | 23.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #256 | 6 | Comerica Park | 98.0mph | 30.0° | 362.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Nathaniel Lowe | #31 | 72 | Great American Ball Park | 104.6mph | 36.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Matt McLain | #97 | 56 | Great American Ball Park | 106.3mph | 26.0° | 419.0ft |
| 2026-04-19 | Willson Contreras | #157 | 39 | Fenway Park | 109.4mph | 32.0° | 394.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 680 | 45.2% | -0.3 | 86.7 | 12.6° | 4 |
| Curveball | 421 | 28.0% | +0.6 | 82.4 | 4.7° | 3 |
| Changeup | 312 | 20.7% | -0.5 | 85.0 | 3.5° | 2 |
| Slider | 67 | 4.5% | -1.6 | 75.6 | 20.1° | 0 |
| Fastball | 24 | 1.6% | -0.6 | 77.0 | 14.7° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
83.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Anthony Volpe | #189 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | José Caballero | #159 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Amed Rosario | #107 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-22 | Cody Bellinger | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Jasson Domínguez | #90 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Paul Goldschmidt | #24 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Ben Rice | #11 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Yainer Diaz | #188 | 32 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Jeremy Peña | #171 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Cam Smith | #108 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Brice Matthews | #93 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Isaac Paredes | #56 | 58 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-16 | Christian Walker | #46 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Luke Keaschall | #225 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Austin Martin | #223 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Royce Lewis | #196 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Orlando Arcia | #192 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ryan Kreidler | #160 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Josh Bell | #155 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Brooks Lee | #109 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Byron Buxton | #14 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Josh Naylor | #214 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Cole Young | #213 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Mitch Garver | #205 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Randy Arozarena | #157 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Rob Refsnyder | #148 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Colt Emerson | #101 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Julio Rodríguez | #59 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Rikuu Nishida | #270 | 10 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Luisangel Acuña | #264 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Sam Antonacci | #233 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Edgar Quero | #229 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Andrew Benintendi | #209 | 34 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chase Meidroth | #173 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Colson Montgomery | #84 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Randal Grichuk | #83 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Miguel Vargas | #43 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Leody Taveras | #219 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Tyler O'Neill | #215 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Weston Wilson | #208 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Taylor Ward | #207 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Blaze Alexander | #200 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Jeremiah Jackson | #72 | 53 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Gunnar Henderson | #58 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-24 | Pete Alonso | #32 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-24 | Adley Rutschman | #24 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | leody taveras | #231 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | taylor ward | #213 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | dylan beavers | #199 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | jeremiah jackson | #96 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | coby mayo | #73 | 56 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-23 | gunnar henderson | #65 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | samuel basallo | #60 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | pete alonso | #57 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | adley rutschman | #47 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Steven Kwan | #252 | 5 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Brayan Rocchio | #235 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Bo Naylor | #187 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | José Ramírez | #180 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-18 | Daniel Schneemann | #175 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Rhys Hoskins | #153 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Kyle Manzardo | #129 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Chase DeLauter | #128 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-18 | Angel Martínez | #63 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Marcus Semien | #246 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Bo Bichette | #234 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Brett Baty | #214 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Luis Robert Jr. | #209 | 21 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Carson Benge | #204 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Mark Vientos | #150 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Francisco Lindor | #135 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Francisco Alvarez | #123 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-13 | Juan Soto | #71 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Caleb Durbin | #261 | 1 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Trevor Story | #259 | 3 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #256 | 6 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wilyer Abreu | #255 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-05 | Marcelo Mayer | #250 | 8 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Roman Anthony | #249 | 8 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jarren Duran | #210 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Carlos Narváez | #132 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Willson Contreras | #76 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-30 | Mauricio Dubón | #175 | 9 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | #163 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Kyle Farmer | #119 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Austin Riley | #82 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Drake Baldwin | #60 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Eli White | #59 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Jorge Mateo | #55 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Ozzie Albies | #47 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-30 | Matt Olson | #24 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #145 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Rece Hinds | #144 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Matt McLain | #97 | 56 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tyler Stephenson | #68 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Dane Myers | #55 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Nathaniel Lowe | #31 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Spencer Steer | #16 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Elly De La Cruz | #9 | 82 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Sal Stewart | #7 | 83 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | #266 | 4 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Caleb Durbin | #264 | 6 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Andruw Monasterio | #262 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Carlos Narváez | #256 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Trevor Story | #255 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #248 | 16 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Roman Anthony | #205 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Wilyer Abreu | #178 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-19 | Willson Contreras | #157 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-14 | Michael Massey | #160 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Kyle Isbel | #157 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Jonathan India | #150 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Maikel Garcia | #147 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Isaac Collins | #145 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Jac Caglianone | #139 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #134 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Salvador Perez | #126 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-14 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #124 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ryan Jeffers | #205 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Christian Vazquez | #192 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Luke Keaschall | #185 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Edouard Julien | #177 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brooks Lee | #176 | 28 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Trevor Larnach | #142 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Royce Lewis | #84 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Byron Buxton | #39 | 53 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Matt Wallner | #6 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |