Gavin Williams
RHP
CLE
13
HRs Allowed
8.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
23.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.04
FIP
3.27
xFIP
+0.77
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.76
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
23.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
93th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
73.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.04
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
50th pctile
3.27
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.77
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
83th pctile
8.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
147
Pool Matchups
13
HRs Allowed (Pool)
19
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
8.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 13.3% | 1.0 | 98.5mph | 102.0mph | 33.5° | 376ft | Up +4.5pp |
| Last 15 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 12.9% | 1.0 | 99.6mph | 103.4mph | 30.8° | 382ft | Up +4.1pp |
| Last 30 | 49 | 6 | 6 | 12.2% | 1.0 | 97.9mph | 103.3mph | 32.3° | 384ft | Up +3.4pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.1
Avg Max EV
116.0
Max EV Allowed
87
Hard-Hit Proxy · 73.1%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.1
Avg HR EV
30.2°
Avg HR Launch
388
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Luisangel Acuña | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Chase Meidroth | 101.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | William Contreras | 110.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jackson Chourio | 107.2mph | 100.2mph | 34° | 366ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Brice Turang | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Christian Yelich | 103.8mph | 103.8mph | 33° | 387ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | Paul Goldschmidt | 104.9mph | 104.9mph | 31° | 388ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-08 | Ryan McMahon | 104.7mph | 104.7mph | 25° | 389ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Jackson Chourio | #5 | 76 | American Family Field | 100.2mph | 34.0° | 366ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Christian Yelich | #156 | 39 | American Family Field | 103.8mph | 33.0° | 387ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Ryan McMahon | #49 | 52 | Progressive Field | 104.7mph | 25.0° | 389ft |
| 2026-06-08 | Paul Goldschmidt | #54 | 50 | Progressive Field | 104.9mph | 31.0° | 388ft |
| 2026-06-03 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #122 | 43 | Yankee Stadium | 107.5mph | 33.0° | 409ft |
| 2026-06-03 | José Caballero | #214 | 28 | Yankee Stadium | 98.6mph | 38.0° | 364ft |
| 2026-05-17 | Elly De La Cruz | #40 | 63 | Progressive Field | 109.0mph | 29.0° | 400.0ft |
| 2026-05-05 | Isaac Collins | #172 | 21 | Kauffman Stadium | 104.9mph | 21.0° | 382.0ft |
| 2026-04-24 | Jesús Sánchez | #48 | 66 | Rogers Centre | 111.8mph | 29.0° | 422.0ft |
| 2026-04-18 | Gunnar Henderson | #41 | 65 | Progressive Field | 102.5mph | 40.0° | 368.0ft |
| 2026-04-13 | Nolan Arenado | #49 | 18 | Busch Stadium | 101.8mph | 24.0° | 401.0ft |
| 2026-04-01 | Freddie Freeman | #6 | 51 | Dodger Stadium | 104.4mph | 28.0° | 407.0ft |
| 2026-03-27 | Cole Young | #95 | 26 | T-Mobile Park | 98.6mph | 28.0° | 367.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 397 | 26.0% | +0.4 | 81.1 | 11.5° | 3 |
| Fastball | 364 | 23.8% | -0.4 | 84.0 | 32.2° | 3 |
| Curveball | 340 | 22.3% | +0.4 | 85.3 | -5.6° | 5 |
| Sinker | 287 | 18.8% | -1.6 | 88.1 | 18.6° | 2 |
| Cutter | 140 | 9.2% | +2.0 | 87.4 | 18.9° | 3 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
73.1%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Luisangel Acuña | #205 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Chase Meidroth | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Tristan Peters | #147 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Sam Antonacci | #102 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Andrew Benintendi | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Miguel Vargas | #34 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-22 | Colson Montgomery | #12 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Sal Frelick | #214 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Christian Yelich | #156 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | William Contreras | #134 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | David Hamilton | #132 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Brice Turang | #65 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Garrett Mitchell | #50 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Jackson Chourio | #5 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Jake Bauers | #3 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Colt Keith | #173 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Kevin Mcgonigle | #171 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Matt Vierling | #155 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Gleyber Torres | #100 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Riley Greene | #66 | 56 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Wenceel Pérez | #56 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Spencer Torkelson | #51 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Kerry Carpenter | #45 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Dillon Dingler | #9 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | José Caballero | #108 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Trent Grisham | #74 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Paul Goldschmidt | #54 | 50 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Ryan McMahon | #49 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-08 | Cody Bellinger | #45 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Spencer Jones | #40 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-08 | Ben Rice | #14 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | José Caballero | #214 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Austin Wells | #187 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Anthony Volpe | #123 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | #122 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-03 | Trent Grisham | #119 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Cody Bellinger | #78 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Paul Goldschmidt | #61 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ryan McMahon | #59 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-03 | Ben Rice | #7 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Drew Millas | #247 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jorbit Vivas | #128 | 44 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Luis García Jr. | #103 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | José Tena | #60 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Daylen Lile | #57 | 58 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Jacob Young | #43 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-27 | CJ Abrams | #28 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-27 | Curtis Mead | #22 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-27 | James Wood | #5 | 81 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | J.T. Realmuto | #191 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Brandon Marsh | #150 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Adolis García | #149 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Trea Turner | #148 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Justin Crawford | #103 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Bryson Stott | #102 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Alec Bohm | #101 | 42 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Bryce Harper | #14 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 88 | 🟢 A | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-17 | TJ Friedl | #194 | 33 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Matt McLain | #181 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Tyler Stephenson | #166 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Will Benson | #90 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Nathaniel Lowe | #65 | 58 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Spencer Steer | #63 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Elly De La Cruz | #40 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sal Stewart | #35 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | JJ Bleday | #26 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Luke Keaschall | #205 | 16 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Austin Martin | #194 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Matt Wallner | #179 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Victor Caratini | #172 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Trevor Larnach | #157 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Brooks Lee | #147 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Josh Bell | #127 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Ryan Jeffers | #119 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Byron Buxton | #80 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Isaac Collins | #172 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-05 | Maikel Garcia | #154 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Kyle Isbel | #112 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Lane Thomas | #90 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Salvador Perez | #66 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #65 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #54 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jac Caglianone | #46 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Carter Jensen | #38 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Richie Palacios | #213 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Taylor Walls | #201 | 20 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Cedric Mullins | #181 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Chandler Simpson | #180 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Yandy Díaz | #156 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jake Fraley | #112 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jonathan Aranda | #111 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Hunter Feduccia | #96 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Junior Caminero | #83 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Tyler Heineman | #189 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Nathan Lukes | #152 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Ernie Clement | #117 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Andrés Giménez | #103 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Daulton Varsho | #100 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Lenyn Sosa | #91 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Jesús Sánchez | #48 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-24 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | #47 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-24 | Kazuma Okamoto | #41 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · — | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Blaze Alexander | #195 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Dylan Beavers | #194 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Coby Mayo | #189 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Taylor Ward | #184 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Colton Cowser | #130 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Samuel Basallo | #72 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Pete Alonso | #68 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Jeremiah Jackson | #43 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-18 | Gunnar Henderson | #41 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Victor Scott II | #65 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Masyn Winn | #61 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Brendan Donovan | #53 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Nolan Arenado | #49 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-13 | Alec Burleson | #40 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Nolan Gorman | #37 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Ivan Herrera | #27 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-13 | Willson Contreras | #12 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Drew Waters | #226 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Michael Massey | #219 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Kyle Isbel | #153 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Maikel Garcia | #146 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jac Caglianone | #135 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jonathan India | #134 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #86 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #67 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Salvador Perez | #42 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Mookie Betts | #43 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Michael Conforto | #21 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Will Smith | #11 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Tommy Edman | #10 | 40 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Andy Pages | #9 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Freddie Freeman | #6 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-01 | Max Muncy | #5 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Teoscar Hernandez | #4 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Shohei Ohtani | #1 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Ben Williamson | #107 | 20 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Cole Young | #95 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-27 | J.P. Crawford | #78 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Mitch Garver | #59 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Jorge Polanco | #29 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Randy Arozarena | #28 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Dominic Canzone | #17 | 43 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Julio Rodriguez | #15 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-27 | Cal Raleigh | #3 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |