2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Slade Cecconi
Slade Cecconi RHP CLE
146 matchups scored · 17 game days · 8 listed today
16 HRs Allowed
11.0% HR Rate (Pool)
18.5% Overall HR/FB
5.01 FIP
4.57 xFIP
+0.44 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.94
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
87th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.8%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.01
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
80th pctile
4.57
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.44
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
71th pctile
11.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
146
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
11.0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 8/8 using split data
6
2
1
5L / 2R
6 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Dominic Canzone Luke Raley Cal Raleigh Cole Young J.P. Crawford Josh Naylor
Today Context
SEA @ CLE · 7:10p
0.89
4.2
13.7%
proxy_pa_leaders
Progressive Field Roof open 65°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 4.01
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters SEA @ CLE · 7:10p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
17
LvR Edge
🔵 C+ 66 30.8%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.282 11.1%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 101.2
42
LvR Edge Splits
🟠 C 58 35.9%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.247 11.5%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
93
RvR Same
⚪ D 47 18.9%vs RHP 23.1%vs RHH 0.180 8.4%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
110
SvR Edge
⚪ D 43 14.6%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.154 9.2%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 92.2
132
RvR Same
⚪ D 39 20.0%vs RHP 23.1%vs RHH 0.157 7.5%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 101.8
155
LvR Edge
⚪ D 36 12.5%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.136 6.2%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0 EV 95.4
162
LvR Edge Splits
⚪ D 35 27.3%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.156 7.8%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 1 HR 0
177
LvR Edge Splits
⚪ D 32 15.9%vs RHP 13.6%vs LHH 0.116 6.2%
Park 0.89 Wind 4.2 E Roof open BP 13.7%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
Progressive Field
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 2 14.3% 1.0 97.0mph 107.5mph 24.0° 424ft Up +3.3pp
Last 15 21 3 3 14.3% 1.0 97.3mph 109.1mph 24.3° 431ft Up +3.3pp
Last 30 48 6 3 6.2% 0.5 96.8mph 109.1mph 24.3° 431ft Down -4.8pp
Batted-Ball Damage
126 tracked BBE from 146 pool matchups
97.7
112.2
88
0
105.3
26.8°
404
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-21 Jeremy Peña 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Garrett Mitchell 111.8mph 111.8mph 22° 440ft Yes
2026-06-16 Christian Yelich 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Brice Turang 103.3mph 103.3mph 26° 409ft Yes
2026-06-16 Jake Bauers 102.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-09 Spencer Jones 112.2mph 112.2mph 25° 443ft Yes
2026-06-09 Paul Goldschmidt 103.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-09 Trent Grisham 103.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
17 days · 16 total HRs
HRs Allowed
16 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-16 Garrett Mitchell #86 52 American Family Field 111.8mph 22.0° 440ft
2026-06-16 Brice Turang #89 51 American Family Field 103.3mph 26.0° 409ft
2026-06-09 Spencer Jones #67 52 Progressive Field 112.2mph 25.0° 443ft
2026-05-18 Matt Vierling #188 35 Comerica Park 103.2mph 25.0° 400.0ft
2026-05-07 Bobby Witt Jr. #31 41 Kauffman Stadium 104.9mph 31.0° 407.0ft
2026-05-07 Vinnie Pasquantino #39 40 Kauffman Stadium 102.2mph 27.0° 414.0ft
2026-05-02 Shea Langeliers #12 51 Sutter Health Park 107.8mph 25.0° 433.0ft
2026-04-26 Jesús Sánchez #37 65 Rogers Centre 98.1mph 26.0° 355.0ft
2026-04-20 Christian Walker #20 64 Progressive Field 111.1mph 20.0° 391.0ft
2026-04-20 Isaac Paredes #96 38 Progressive Field 104.1mph 24.0° 375.0ft
2026-04-10 Matt Olson #20 53 Truist Park 111.6mph 34.0° 441.0ft
2026-04-10 Ronald Acuña Jr. #34 55 Truist Park 104.9mph 32.0° 411.0ft
2026-04-10 Michael Harris II #123 41 Truist Park 106.7mph 25.0° 425.0ft
2026-04-05 Dansby Swanson #34 44 Progressive Field 100.6mph 28.0° 380.0ft
2026-04-05 Ian Happ #58 44 Progressive Field 107.5mph 25.0° 382.0ft
2026-04-05 Matt Shaw #85 40 Progressive Field 95.2mph 34.0° 355.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 405 28.9% -0.4 85.7 29.0° 4
Cutter 349 24.9% -0.5 81.4 14.5° 4
Sinker 267 19.1% -0.2 84.2 7.4° 0
Curveball 212 15.1% +0.6 80.1 14.6° 2
Sweeper 88 6.3% +2.8 77.3 23.6° 2
Slider 57 4.1% -2.5 81.0 12.9° 0
Changeup 23 1.6% +5.0 79.0 30.6° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.8%
69.8%
All Scored Matchups
146 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-21 Joey Loperfido #205 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Christian Vázquez #202 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-21 Cam Smith #126 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Isaac Paredes #115 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 Jeremy Peña #104 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 Christian Walker #35 63 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Christian Yelich #174 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 William Contreras #143 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 David Hamilton #135 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Andrew Vaughn #128 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Brice Turang #89 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-16 Garrett Mitchell #86 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-16 Jackson Chourio #15 71 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Jake Bauers #2 77 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Anthony Volpe #153 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Trent Grisham #108 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-09 Cody Bellinger #72 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Spencer Jones #67 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-09 Paul Goldschmidt #61 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 Ryan McMahon #60 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 Ben Rice #12 67 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 J.C. Escarra #113 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-04 José Caballero #110 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-04 Trent Grisham #68 45 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-04 Max Schuemann #38 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Cody Bellinger #36 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Ryan McMahon #33 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-04 Paul Goldschmidt #24 59 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-04 Jazz Chisholm Jr. #23 60 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-04 Ben Rice #3 70 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Mickey Gasper #221 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Caleb Durbin #176 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Marcelo Mayer #162 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-29 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #144 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Wilyer Abreu #114 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Ceddanne Rafaela #104 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Masataka Yoshida #101 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Jarren Duran #37 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Willson Contreras #23 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Adolis García #186 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Brandon Marsh #179 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 J.T. Realmuto #171 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Trea Turner #125 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Justin Crawford #109 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Bryson Stott #68 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Alec Bohm #53 61 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-23 Bryce Harper #5 79 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 Kyle Schwarber #1 98 🥇 S 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-18 Colt Keith #238 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Wenceel Pérez #227 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Gleyber Torres #211 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Matt Vierling #188 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-18 Kevin McGonigle #167 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Riley Greene #95 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Spencer Torkelson #64 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Kerry Carpenter #59 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Dillon Dingler #40 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Logan O'Hoppe #212 21 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Nolan Schanuel #173 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Yoán Moncada #165 28 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Jo Adell #152 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Oswald Peraza #142 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Zach Neto #91 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Josh Lowe #82 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Jorge Soler #41 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Mike Trout #25 48 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-07 Maikel Garcia #65 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Kyle Isbel #62 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Isaac Collins #51 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-07 Jac Caglianone #44 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-07 Salvador Perez #43 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Vinnie Pasquantino #39 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-07 Michael Massey #32 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 Bobby Witt Jr. #31 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-07 Carter Jensen #19 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Brent Rooker #98 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Lawrence Butler #72 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Max Muncy #57 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Jeff McNeil #31 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Nick Kurtz #30 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Tyler Soderstrom #27 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Jacob Wilson #26 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-02 Shea Langeliers #12 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-02 Carlos Cortes #4 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Yohendrick Pinango #221 30 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-26 Ernie Clement #116 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Daulton Varsho #113 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-26 Lenyn Sosa #83 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-26 Brandon Valenzuela #73 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-26 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #49 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-26 Davis Schneider #40 64 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-26 Jesús Sánchez #37 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-26 Kazuma Okamoto #32 66 🔵 C+ · — ·
2026-04-20 Isaac Paredes #96 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-20 Jeremy Peña #80 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Yainer Diaz #59 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-20 Joey Loperfido #52 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-20 Carlos Correa #48 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 Jose Altuve #44 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-20 Christian Walker #20 64 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD 💥
2026-04-20 Cam Smith #9 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-20 Yordan Alvarez #1 84 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Pedro Pagés #131 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Iván Herrera #122 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Jordan Walker #116 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Victor Scott II #91 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Masyn Winn #89 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Alec Burleson #68 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Nathan Church #66 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Nolan Gorman #64 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-10 Mauricio Dubón #199 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-10 Ozzie Albies #140 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-10 Mike Yastrzemski #134 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 Michael Harris II #123 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-10 Austin Riley #117 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 Dominic Smith #100 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 Ronald Acuña Jr. #34 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-10 Drake Baldwin #21 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 Matt Olson #20 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-05 Nico Hoerner #204 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-05 Matt Shaw #85 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-05 Kyle Tucker #73 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-05 Ian Happ #58 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-05 Carson Kelly #49 43 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 Pete Crow-Armstrong #46 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-05 Dansby Swanson #34 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-05 Seiya Suzuki #26 54 🟠 C · — ·
2026-04-05 Michael Busch #17 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Nico Hoerner #183 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Matt Shaw #79 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Kyle Tucker #67 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-04 Ian Happ #53 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 Carson Kelly #49 43 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 Pete Crow-Armstrong #43 52 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-04 Dansby Swanson #34 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 Seiya Suzuki #30 54 🟠 C · — ·
2026-04-04 Michael Busch #20 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-29 Ben Williamson #171 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Cole Young #158 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 J.P. Crawford #134 26 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-29 Mitch Garver #109 33 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 Jorge Polanco #81 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Randy Arozarena #75 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Dominic Canzone #60 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 Julio Rodriguez #50 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-29 Cal Raleigh #20 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
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