2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman RHP TOR
142 matchups scored · 16 game days
12 HRs Allowed
8.5% HR Rate (Pool)
17.6% Overall HR/FB
2.92 FIP
3.14 xFIP
-0.21 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.75
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
84th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.1%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.92
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
15th pctile
3.14
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.21
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
38th pctile
8.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
142
Pool Matchups
12
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
3
HRs to Top-15
8.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 99.2mph 101.9mph 28.3° 395ft Up +10.3pp
Last 15 25 3 5 20.0% 1.67 99.8mph 104.2mph 27.6° 393ft Up +11.5pp
Last 30 52 6 6 11.5% 1.0 97.5mph 105.2mph 31.2° 387ft Up +3.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
115 tracked BBE from 142 pool matchups
96.4
112.3
76
0
104.2
31.2°
391
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-19 Matt Shaw 105.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Carson Kelly 105.3mph 105.3mph 28° 428ft Yes
2026-06-19 Dansby Swanson 105.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Seiya Suzuki 104.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Nico Hoerner 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-19 Ian Happ 100.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-13 Paul Goldschmidt 103.2mph 103.2mph 33° 400ft Yes
2026-06-13 Ben Rice 103.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
16 days · 12 total HRs
HRs Allowed
12 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-19 Carson Kelly #177 31 Wrigley Field 105.3mph 28.0° 428ft
2026-06-13 Paul Goldschmidt #62 54 Rogers Centre 103.2mph 33.0° 400ft
2026-06-13 Jasson Domínguez #81 51 Rogers Centre 97.1mph 24.0° 357ft
2026-06-07 Colton Cowser #74 50 Rogers Centre 111.7mph 23.0° 400ft
2026-06-07 Taylor Ward #182 31 Rogers Centre 103.9mph 30.0° 380ft
2026-06-02 Matt Olson #22 68 Truist Park 109.8mph 49.0° 355ft
2026-05-11 Jonathan Aranda #62 31 Rogers Centre 104.8mph 34.0° 415.0ft
2026-04-30 Byron Buxton #15 65 Target Field 101.8mph 36.0° 375.0ft
2026-04-30 Ryan Jeffers #73 32 Target Field 103.0mph 31.0° 404.0ft
2026-04-19 Jorge Barrosa #234 22 Chase Field 98.3mph 28.0° 351.0ft
2026-04-14 Gary Sánchez #2 53 American Family Field 104.1mph 34.0° 409.0ft
2026-03-27 Shea Langeliers #12 56 Rogers Centre 107.2mph 25.0° 414.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 806 52.1% -1.9 83.6 28.1° 5
Splitter 600 38.8% +0.5 76.4 7.5° 3
Slider 140 9.1% +4.2 83.0 10.3° 4
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.1%
66.1%
All Scored Matchups
142 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-19 Nico Hoerner #205 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 Carson Kelly #177 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-19 Alex Bregman #173 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Dansby Swanson #164 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Michael Busch #94 49 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 Matt Shaw #87 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Seiya Suzuki #63 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 Ian Happ #46 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-19 Pete Crow-Armstrong #30 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 José Caballero #172 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Cody Bellinger #90 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-13 Jasson Domínguez #81 51 🟠 C · — 💥
2026-06-13 Paul Goldschmidt #62 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-13 Ryan McMahon #61 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Spencer Jones #26 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 Ben Rice #22 66 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Tyler O'Neill #214 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Taylor Ward #182 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-07 Blaze Alexander #176 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Jackson Holliday #141 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Colton Cowser #74 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-07 Gunnar Henderson #70 51 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-07 Samuel Basallo #58 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Pete Alonso #50 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-07 Adley Rutschman #47 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Ozzie Albies #168 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Dominic Smith #144 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Sandy León #119 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Mike Yastrzemski #115 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Austin Riley #113 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Jorge Mateo #50 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-02 Michael Harris II #41 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Ronald Acuña Jr. #33 62 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 Matt Olson #22 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-27 Graham Pauley #227 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Jakob Marsee #219 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Christopher Morel #214 32 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-27 Otto Lopez #207 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Connor Norby #182 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Xavier Edwards #147 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Liam Hicks #129 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-27 Kyle Stowers #107 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Owen Caissie #84 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Nick Gonzales #255 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Spencer Horwitz #204 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Bryan Reynolds #184 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Konnor Griffin #176 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Marcell Ozuna #160 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Henry Davis #140 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Ryan O'Hearn #125 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 Oneil Cruz #37 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Brandon Lowe #26 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Zach McKinstry #266 9 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Colt Keith #262 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-17 Wenceel Pérez #237 23 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Matt Vierling #212 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Kevin McGonigle #196 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Gage Workman #176 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Riley Greene #135 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Spencer Torkelson #92 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Dillon Dingler #69 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Taylor Walls #91 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Cedric Mullins #90 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 Nick Fortes #86 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-11 Chandler Simpson #85 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Jake Fraley #76 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 Ben Williamson #65 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Jonathan Aranda #62 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-11 Yandy Díaz #61 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-11 Junior Caminero #43 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Cedric Mullins #246 9 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Taylor Walls #227 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Nick Fortes #194 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Chandler Simpson #193 17 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Ben Williamson #134 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Jake Fraley #92 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Yandy Díaz #71 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Jonathan Aranda #41 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Junior Caminero #8 76 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Victor Caratini #171 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-30 Josh Bell #168 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-30 Trevor Larnach #162 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Luke Keaschall #153 16 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Matt Wallner #139 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Austin Martin #126 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Brooks Lee #85 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Ryan Jeffers #73 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-30 Byron Buxton #15 65 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-25 Steven Kwan #205 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 Kyle Manzardo #155 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-25 Brayan Rocchio #154 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 Rhys Hoskins #97 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-25 Bo Naylor #93 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Chase DeLauter #62 61 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-25 Angel Martínez #31 69 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 Daniel Schneemann #29 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-25 José Ramírez #27 71 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Alek Thomas #253 15 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 Geraldo Perdomo #245 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Jorge Barrosa #234 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-19 Nolan Arenado #221 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Gabriel Moreno #218 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Ildemaro Vargas #214 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 Ketel Marte #204 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Jose Fernandez #195 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 Corbin Carroll #147 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Joey Ortiz #73 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Jeferson Quero #67 23 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Sal Frelick #58 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Blake Perkins #54 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 William Contreras #41 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Jackson Chourio #23 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Brice Turang #11 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Christian Yelich #8 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Gary Sánchez #2 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-07 Michael Conforto #143 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Mookie Betts #110 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Tommy Edman #92 37 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-07 Freddie Freeman #35 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Will Smith #34 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Andy Pages #33 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Max Muncy #22 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Teoscar Hernandez #16 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 Shohei Ohtani #2 68 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Tyler Freeman #238 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Ryan Ritter #232 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Ezequiel Tovar #168 40 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Kyle Farmer #139 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Brenton Doyle #134 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Jordan Beck #113 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Michael Toglia #78 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Mickey Moniak #58 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Hunter Goodman #39 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Luis Urias #77 33 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Jacob Wilson #53 34 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 JJ Bleday #34 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Brent Rooker #23 53 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-27 Lawrence Butler #19 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-27 Max Muncy #16 54 🟠 C · — ·
2026-03-27 Shea Langeliers #12 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-03-27 Tyler Soderstrom #10 50 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-27 Nick Kurtz #1 65 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
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