2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante RHP STL
129 matchups scored · 15 game days · 7 listed today
13 HRs Allowed
10.1% HR Rate (Pool)
16.0% Overall HR/FB
4.69 FIP
4.55 xFIP
+0.14 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.87
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
16.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
79th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
75.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.69
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
72th pctile
4.55
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.14
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
57th pctile
10.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
129
Pool Matchups
13
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
10.1%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
RHP · 7/7 using split data
4
3
1
3L / 3R
4 of 7 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Owen Caissie Kyle Stowers Xavier Edwards Jakob Marsee
Today Context
MIA @ STL · 6:15p
0.83
2.0
14.3%
proxy_pa_leaders
Busch Stadium Roof open 74°F Weather 0.0 BP FIP 4.37
Today's Threat Breakdown · 7 batters MIA @ STL · 6:15p
# Batter Platoon Tier Score Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. ISO Barrel Context Lineup BvP
64
LvR Edge
🟠 C 52 26.5%vs RHP 19.2%vs LHH 0.192 9.8%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
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first look
92
LvR Edge
⚪ D 47 20.0%vs RHP 19.2%vs LHH 0.203 8.3%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
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PA 2 HR 0
142
RvR Same
⚪ D 38 19.1%vs RHP 17.4%vs RHH 0.181 7.8%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
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first look
174
RvR Same
⚪ D 33 11.1%vs RHP 17.4%vs RHH 0.140 6.7%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 2 HR 0
192
SvR Edge
⚪ D 29 4.7%vs RHP 19.2%vs LHH 0.134 5.7%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
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PA 2 HR 0
206
LvR Edge
⚪ D 25 7.7%vs RHP 19.2%vs LHH 0.100 4.7%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
first look
215
RvR Same
⚪ D 21 0.0%vs RHP 17.4%vs RHH 0.104 2.9%
Park 0.83 Wind 2.0 W Roof open BP 14.3%
·
proxy_pa_leaders
PA 2 HR 0
Busch Stadium
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 96.8mph 109.9mph 26.0° 444ft Down -3.0pp
Last 15 21 3 1 4.8% 0.33 98.2mph 109.9mph 26.0° 444ft Down -5.3pp
Last 30 39 5 2 5.1% 0.4 98.3mph 107.0mph 25.5° 426ft Down -5.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
112 tracked BBE from 129 pool matchups
98.6
117.8
84
0
105.5
27.8°
414
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-22 Corbin Carroll 112.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Tommy Troy 109.9mph 109.9mph 26° 444ft Yes
2026-06-22 Ketel Marte 104.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-22 Nolan Arenado 100.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-16 Jackson Merrill 106.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Carson Benge 108.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Bo Bichette 104.1mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Juan Soto 102.5mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
15 days · 13 total HRs
HRs Allowed
13 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-22 Tommy Troy #167 37 Busch Stadium 109.9mph 26.0° 444ft
2026-05-29 Ian Happ #39 61 Busch Stadium 104.1mph 25.0° 407ft
2026-05-23 Elly De La Cruz #28 66 Great American Ball Park 106.7mph 25.0° 387.0ft
2026-05-23 Nathaniel Lowe #42 64 Great American Ball Park 106.8mph 25.0° 398.0ft
2026-05-17 Salvador Perez #154 42 Busch Stadium 99.0mph 32.0° 393.0ft
2026-05-12 Shea Langeliers #8 58 Sutter Health Park 108.1mph 29.0° 448.0ft
2026-05-06 Andrew Vaughn #214 19 Busch Stadium 102.8mph 23.0° 403.0ft
2026-05-05 William Contreras #155 24 Busch Stadium 111.9mph 32.0° 449.0ft
2026-04-29 Spencer Horwitz #200 21 PNC Park 100.9mph 36.0° 397.0ft
2026-04-24 Josh Naylor #180 36 Busch Stadium 107.3mph 24.0° 418.0ft
2026-04-18 Yordan Alvarez #11 81 Minute Maid Park 109.2mph 29.0° 421.0ft
2026-04-12 Willson Contreras #123 30 Busch Stadium 106.2mph 28.0° 411.0ft
2026-03-31 Pete Alonso #29 49 Busch Stadium 99.1mph 27.0° 400.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 409 30.3% -1.0 85.1 4.3° 4
Slider 403 29.9% -2.2 81.6 18.1° 2
Sinker 256 19.0% +0.5 80.1 15.6° 1
Knuckle Curve 242 17.9% +1.6 84.6 9.5° 2
Splitter 40 3.0% -0.5 78.2 -8.5° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
75.0%
75.0%
All Scored Matchups
129 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-22 Tim Tawa #209 18 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-22 Pavin Smith #208 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-22 Geraldo Perdomo #204 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Adrian Del Castillo #194 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-22 Nolan Arenado #177 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 Tommy Troy #167 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-22 Ketel Marte #122 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-22 Corbin Carroll #42 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Xander Bogaerts #176 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 Jackson Merrill #156 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Ty France #142 41 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 Manny Machado #125 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Gavin Sheets #90 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 Rodolfo Durán #38 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Brett Baty #193 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Bo Bichette #157 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Luis Torrens #135 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Marcus Semien #74 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-10 Carson Benge #73 52 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-10 Jared Young #46 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Juan Soto #35 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Alejandro Osuna #261 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Nicky Lopez #223 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Josh Jung #150 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-03 Ezequiel Duran #145 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-03 Kyle Higashioka #136 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Evan Carter #121 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-03 Brandon Nimmo #79 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Jake Burger #66 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-03 Joc Pederson #62 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Nico Hoerner #227 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Carson Kelly #212 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Alex Bregman #172 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Dansby Swanson #158 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 Seiya Suzuki #148 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-29 Pete Crow-Armstrong #98 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Michael Busch #64 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-29 Ian Happ #39 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-29 Michael Conforto #24 66 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Tyler Stephenson #166 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Eugenio Suárez #165 41 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-23 Dane Myers #105 50 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 Blake Dunn #104 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 Spencer Steer #66 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Nathaniel Lowe #42 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-23 Sal Stewart #29 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 Elly De La Cruz #28 66 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-23 JJ Bleday #15 73 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Lane Thomas #256 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Kyle Isbel #219 29 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Maikel Garcia #198 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Salvador Perez #154 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-17 Vinnie Pasquantino #147 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 Carter Jensen #129 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 Isaac Collins #114 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-17 Michael Massey #60 60 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-17 Bobby Witt Jr. #51 62 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Jeff McNeil #194 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Jacob Wilson #171 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-12 Brent Rooker #100 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Lawrence Butler #78 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Nick Kurtz #69 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Max Muncy #55 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-12 Tyler Soderstrom #24 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-12 Carlos Cortes #18 51 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 Shea Langeliers #8 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-06 Joey Ortiz #269 5 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 David Hamilton #265 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Andrew Vaughn #214 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-06 William Contreras #213 19 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 Garrett Mitchell #212 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Jackson Chourio #206 20 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-06 Sal Frelick #192 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 Jake Bauers #170 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-06 Brice Turang #145 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Brandon Lockridge #243 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 David Hamilton #219 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Joey Ortiz #197 17 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Luis Rengifo #186 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Garrett Mitchell #165 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 William Contreras #155 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-05 Sal Frelick #125 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Jake Bauers #75 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Brice Turang #70 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Nick Gonzales #261 5 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Bryan Reynolds #255 10 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-29 Konnor Griffin #243 13 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-29 Marcell Ozuna #233 15 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Nick Yorke #228 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Spencer Horwitz #200 21 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-04-29 Ryan O'Hearn #178 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Brandon Lowe #160 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Oneil Cruz #147 30 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Leo Rivas #203 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Josh Naylor #180 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 Cole Young #170 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Julio Rodríguez #169 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Randy Arozarena #160 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 J.P. Crawford #159 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Cal Raleigh #113 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Dominic Canzone #38 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Luke Raley #27 74 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Jeremy Peña #190 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Isaac Paredes #175 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Yainer Diaz #167 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Joey Loperfido #124 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Jose Altuve #98 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Carlos Correa #95 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Christian Walker #49 63 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-18 Cam Smith #27 71 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Yordan Alvarez #11 81 🟢 A ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-12 Connor Wong #168 14 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Caleb Durbin #160 15 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Ceddanne Rafaela #155 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Jarren Duran #153 26 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-12 Marcelo Mayer #139 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Roman Anthony #138 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Trevor Story #137 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Wilyer Abreu #124 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Willson Contreras #123 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-31 Tyrone Taylor #211 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Jeff McNeil #126 31 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Starling Marte #73 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Mark Vientos #56 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Brandon Nimmo #55 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Francisco Lindor #54 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Pete Alonso #29 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-31 Brett Baty #16 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Juan Soto #8 50 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
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